Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences at the University of Colorado Boulder

Randall M. Dole

Research Interests

Dynamical extended-range prediction; extreme large-scale weather and climate events, e.g., major droughts and floods; storm track dynamics and baroclinic wave life cycles; tropical-midlatitude interactions.

Current Research

Short-term climate extremes and El Nino Southern Oscillation; influences of planetary scale deformation on storm tracks and low-frequency dynamics; development of prediction strategies for extreme large-scale weather and climate events.



Honors and Awards

  • Fellow, American Meteorological Society
  • NOAA Administrator's Award, "For outstanding leadership in and dedication to developing U.S. Climate Change Science Program Synthesis and Assessment Products integrating climate research for decision support."
  • Department of Commerce Bronze Medal Award, "For superior federal service for designing and implementing the consolidation of six research organizations in Boulder, Colorado into the new NOAA Earth System Research Laboratories."
  • Department of Commerce Bronze Medal Award, "For developing an integrated state, local and federal strategy for a National Integrated Drought Information System endorsed by the Western Governors' Association."

View Publications

  • Ryoo, JM; Chiao, S; Spackman, JR; Iraci, LT; Ralph, FM; Martin, A; Dole, RM; Marrero, JE; Yates, EL; Bui, TP; Dean-Day, JM; Chang, CS. (Feb 2020). Terrain Trapped Airflows and Precipitation Variability during an Atmospheric River Event. JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY , 21(2). 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0040.1
  • Hoell, A, M Hoerling, J Eischeid, K Wolter, R Dole, J Perlwitz, TY Xu and LY Cheng. (28-Jan 2016). Does El Nino intensity matter for California precipitation?. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 43(2), 819-825. 10.1002/2015GL067102
  • Wolter, K, M Hoerling, JK Eischeid, GJ van Oldenborgh, XW Quan, JE Walsh, TN Chase and RM Dole. (DEC 2015). HOW UNUSUAL WAS THE COLD WINTER OF 2013/14 IN THE UPPER MIDWEST?. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 96(12), S10-S14. 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00126.1
  • Perlwitz, J, M Hoerling and R Dole. (MAR 2015). Arctic Tropospheric Warming: Causes and Linkages to Lower Latitudes. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 28(6), 2154-2167. 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00095.1
  • Liebmann, B, MP Hoerling, C Funk, I Blade, RM Dole, D Allured, XW Quan, P Pegion and JK Eischeid. (DEC 2014). Understanding Recent Eastern Horn of Africa Rainfall Variability and Change. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 27(23), 8630-8645. 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00714.1
  • Hoerling, M, K Wolter, J Perlwitz, XW Quan, J Eischeid, HL Wang, S Schubert, H Diaz and R Dole. (SEP 2014). NORTHEAST COLORADO EXTREME RAINS INTERPRETED IN A CLIMATE CHANGE CONTEXT. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 95(9), S15-S18.
  • Vose, RS, S Applequist, MKA Bourassa, SC Pryor, RJ Barthelmie, B Blanton, PD Bromirski, HOE Brooks, AT DeGaetano, RM Dole, DR Easterling, RE Jensen, TR Karl, RW Katz, K Klink, MC Kruk, KE Kunkel, MC MacCracken, TSC Peterson, K Shein, BR Thomas, JE Walsh, XLL Wang, MF Wehner, DJ Wuebbles and RS Young. (MAR 2014). MONITORING AND UNDERSTANDING CHANGES IN EXTREMES. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 95(3), 377-386. 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00162.1
  • Dole, R, M Hoerling, A Kumar, J Eischeid, J Perlwitz, XW Quan, G Kiladis, R Webb, D Murray, MY Chen, K Wolter and T Zhang. (MAR 2014). THE MAKING OF AN EXTREME EVENT. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 95(3), 427-440. 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00069.1
  • Waliser, D, K Weickmann, R Dole, S Schubert, O Alves, C Jones, M Newman, HL Pan, A Roubicek, S Saha, C Smith, H van den Dool, F Vitart, M Wheeler and J Whitaker. (APR 2006). The experimental MJO prediction project. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 87(4), 425-431. 10.1175/BAMS-87-4-425
  • Hamill, TM, RS Schneider, HE Brooks, GS Forbes, HB Bluestein, M Steinberg, D Melendez and RM Dole. (APR 2005). The May 2003 extended tornado outbreak. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 86(4), 531-+. 10.1175/BAMS-86-4-531
  • Chen, P, MP Hoerling and RM Dole. (2001). The origin of the subtropical anticyclones. JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 58(13), 1827-1835. 10.1175/1520-0469(2001)058<1827:TOOTSA>2.0.CO;2
  • Black, RX and RM Dole. (1-Aug 2000). Storm tracks and barotropic deformation in climate models. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 13(15), 2712-2728.
  • Wolter, K, RM Dole and CA Smith. (NOV 1999). Short-term climate extremes over the continental united states and ENSO. Part I: Seasonal temperatures. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 12(11), 3255-3272. 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<3255:STCEOT>2.0.CO;2
  • Cai, M, JS Whitaker, RM Dole and KL Paine. (FEB 1996). Dynamics of systematic errors in the NMC Medium Range Forecast model. MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW, 124(2), 265-276. 10.1175/1520-0493(1996)124<0265:DOSEIT>2.0.CO;2
  • LYON, B and RM DOLE. (JUN 1995). A DIAGNOSTIC COMPARISON OF THE 1980 AND 1988 US SUMMER HEAT WAVE-DROUGHTS. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 8(6), 1658-1675.
  • WHITAKER, JS and RM DOLE. (15-Apr 1995). ORGANIZATION OF STORM TRACKS IN ZONALLY VARYING FLOWS. JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 52(8), 1178-1191. 10.1175/1520-0469(1995)052<1178:OOSTIZ>2.0.CO;2