Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences at the University of Colorado Boulder

Mark Serreze

Research Interests

I am an Arctic climate scientist and Director of the CIRES National Snow and Ice Data Center. Over the past two decades, my research has focused on making sense of the profound changes unfolding in the North—shrinking sea ice, rapidly rising temperatures—thawing permafrost—and what they mean not just for the Arctic’s future but for the rest of the planet. I am also very active in science outreach and education. Today, more than ever, it is important that scientists reach out and make science more accessible and relevant to society.

Current Research

Much of my current research focuses on leading the Arctic Rain on Snow Study (AROSS), a project within the National Science Foundation’s Navigating the New Arctic (NNA) initiative seeking to better understand the distribution, severity, and changes in the frequency of rain on snow and melt-refreeze events in the Arctic and their impacts. 

There is increasing recognition that rain on snow events are having significant and sometimes even catastrophic impacts on the physical and living environments of the North (see figure). These events are generally associated with short-lived warm spells in autumn and winter, linked to extratropical cyclones that generate rain, followed by a rapid drop in temperature. The rainwater may freeze on the surface or percolate through the snowpack and pool at the ground surface, depending upon the thickness and density of the snowpack and the intensity of the precipitation event. After refreezing, ice crusts can variously form on the snow surface, as layers within the snow, or at the base of the snowpack.

Rain on snow events can foster avalanches, influence snow structure, warm underlying permafrost and increase the depth of the permafrost active layer. Impacts have been documented on vegetation and soil organisms. Rain on snow events influence population dynamics of lemmings, voles and bird species that seek shelter in the snowpack, including owls, ptarmigan and grouse. Icing may lead to a fading of lemming cycles, causing crashes of Arctic predators such as snowy owls and Arctic fox, which depend on them. In marine environments, polar bears and ringed seals are also impacted – rains early in the breeding season can melt subnivean lairs and increase cub mortality. Perhaps the most devastating impact of ROS events, however, and a major focus of the AROSS effort, is that ice layers, in creating barriers that prohibit foraging, can lead to massive die-offs of large herbivores, with concomitant social-economic impacts, especially in regions where humans depend on either wild or semi-domesticated populations of Rangifer species (caribou and reindeer) for food, transportation and other needs.



Characteristics of Arctic rain on snow event and their impacts. Image: Julia Gustafson

View Publications

  • Steele M; Eicken H; Bhatt U; Bieniek PK; Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E; Wiggins H; Turner-Bogren B; Hamilton L; Little J; Massonnet F. (Dec 2021). Moving Sea Ice Prediction Forward via Community Intercomparison. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society , 102(12), E2226-E2228. 10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0159.1
  • McCrystall MR; Stroeve J; Serreze M; Forbes BC; Screen JA. (Nov 2021). New climate models reveal faster and larger increases in Arctic precipitation than previously projected. Nature Communications , 12(1). 10.1038/s41467-021-27031-y
  • Serreze MC; Gustafson J; Barrett AP; Druckenmiller ML; Fox S; Voveris J; Stroeve J; Sheffield B; Forbes BC; Rasmus S. (Oct 2021). Arctic rain on snow events: bridging observations to understand environmental and livelihood impacts. Environmental Research Letters , 16(10). 10.1088/1748-9326/ac269b
  • Mallett RDC; Stroeve JC; Cornish SB; Crawford AD; Lukovich J; Serreze MC; Barrett AP; Meier WN; Heorton HDBS; Tsamados M. (Aug 2021). Record winter winds in 2020/21 drove exceptional Arctic sea ice transport. Communications Earth & Environment , 2(1). 10.1038/s43247-021-00221-8
  • Crawford AD; Schreiber EAP; Sommer N; Serreze MC; Stroeve JC; Barber DG. (Jun 2021). Sensitivity of Northern Hemisphere Cyclone Detection and Tracking Results to Fine Spatial and Temporal Resolution using ERA5. Monthly Weather Review. 10.1175/mwr-d-20-0417.1
  • Lenetsky JE; Serreze MC. (May 2021). Statistical Modeling of the Bering Strait Throughflow for Operational Sea Ice Forecasting in the Chukchi Sea. Geophysical Research Letters , 48(10). 10.1029/2021GL092939
  • Schreiber EAP; Serreze MC. (Sep 2020). Impacts of synoptic-scale cyclones on Arctic sea-ice concentration: a systematic analysis. Annals of Glaciology , 61(82), 139-153. 10.1017/aog.2020.23
  • Crawford AD; Alley KE; Cooke AM; Serreze MC. (Mar 2020). Synoptic Climatology of Rain-on-Snow Events in Alaska. Monthly Weather Review , 148(3), 1275-1295. 10.1175/MWR-D-19-0311.1
  • Barrett AP; Stroeve JC; Serreze MC. (Jan 2020). Arctic Ocean Precipitation From Atmospheric Reanalyses and Comparisons With North Pole Drifting Station Records. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans , 125(1). 10.1029/2019JC015415
  • Serreze, MC; Meier, WN. (Jan 2019). The Arctics sea ice cover: trends, variability, predictability, and comparisons to the Antarctic. ANNALS OF THE NEW YORK ACADEMY OF SCIENCES , 1436(1). 10.1111/nyas.13856
  • Serreze, M.C., A.P. Barrett, A. Crawford, R. Woodgate. (Jan 2019). Monthly Variability in Bering Strait Oceanic Volume and Heat Transports, Links to Atmospheric Circulation, Ocean Temperature and Sea Ice Conditions. 10.1029/2019JC015422
  • Crawford, AD, S Horvath, J Stroeve, R Balaji and MC Serreze. (Aug 2018). Modulation of Sea Ice Melt Onset and Retreat in the Laptev Sea by the Timing of Snow Retreat in the West Siberian Plain. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES , 123(16). 10.1029/2018JD028697
  • Bromwich, DH, AB Wilson, L Bai, Z Liu, M Barlage, CF Shih, S Maldonado, KM Hines, SH Wang, J Woollen, B Kuo, HC Lin, TK Wee, MC Serreze and JE Walsh. (Apr 2018). THE ARCTIC SYSTEM REANALYSIS, VERSION 2. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY , 99(4). 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0215.1
  • Crawford, AD and MC Serreze. (Dec 2017). Projected Changes in the Arctic Frontal Zone and Summer Arctic Cyclone Activity in the CESM Large Ensemble. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE , 30(24). 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0296.1
  • Serreze, MC, B Raup, C Braun, DR Hardy and RS Bradley. (Jan 2017). Rapid wastage of the Hazen Plateau ice caps, northeastern Ellesmere Island, Nunavut, Canada. CRYOSPHERE , 11(1). 10.5194/tc-11-169-2017
  • Serreze, MC, J Stroeve, AP Barrett and LN Boisvert. (Oct 2016). Summer atmospheric circulation anomalies over the Arctic Ocean and their influences on September sea ice extent: A cautionary tale. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES , 121(19). 10.1002/2016JD025161
  • Serreze, MC, AD Crawford, JC Stroeve, AP Barrett and RA Woodgate. (Oct 2016). Variability, trends, and predictability of seasonal sea ice retreat and advance in the Chukchi Sea. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS , 121(10). 10.1002/2016JC011977
  • Lynch, AH, MC Serreze, EN Cassano, AD Crawford and J Stroeve. (Jul 2016). Linkages between Arctic summer circulation regimes and regional sea ice anomalies. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES , 121(13). 10.1002/2016JD025164
  • Crawford, AD and MC Serreze. (Jul 2016). Does the Summer Arctic Frontal Zone Influence Arctic Ocean Cyclone Activity?. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE , 29(13). 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0755.1
  • Serreze, MC, AD Crawford and AP Barrett. (Dec 2015). Extreme daily precipitation events at Spitsbergen, an Arctic Island. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY , 35(15). 10.1002/joc.4308
  • Serreze, MC and J Stroeve. (Jul 2015). Arctic sea ice trends, variability and implications for seasonal ice forecasting. PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES , 373(2045). 10.1098/rsta.2014.0159
  • Stroeve J; Barrett A; Serreze M; Schweiger A. (Jan 2015). Corrigendum to: Using records from submarine, aircraft and satellites to evaluate climate model simulations of Arctic sea ice thickness (vol 8, pg 1839, 2014). The Cryosphere , 9(1), 81-81. 10.5194/tc-9-81-2015
  • Crawford, A and M Serreze. (Jan 2015). A New Look at the Summer Arctic Frontal Zone. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE , 28(2). 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00447.1
  • Jenouvrier, S, M Holland, J Stroeve, M Serreze, C Barbraud, H Weimerskirch and H Caswell. (Aug 2014). Projected continent-wide declines of the emperor penguin under climate change. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE , 4(8). 10.1038/NCLIMATE2280
  • Jafarov, EE, DJ Nicolsky, VE Romanovsky, JE Walsh, SK Panda and MC Serreze. (Jun 2014). The effect of snow: How to better model ground surface temperatures. COLD REGIONS SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY , 102. 10.1016/j.coldregions.2014.02.007
  • Cassano, EN, JJ Cassano, ME Higgins and MC Serreze. (Mar 2014). Atmospheric impacts of an Arctic sea ice minimum as seen in the Community Atmosphere Model. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY , 34(3). 10.1002/joc.3723
  • Stroeve, J, A Barrett, M Serreze and A Schweiger. (Jan 2014). Using records from submarine, aircraft and satellites to evaluate climate model simulations of Arctic sea ice thickness. CRYOSPHERE , 8(5). 10.5194/tc-8-1839-2014
  • Bourassa, MA, ST Gille, C Bitz, D Carlson, I Cerovecki, CA Clayson, MF Cronin, WM Drennan, CW Fairall, RN Hoffman, G Magnusdottir, RT Pinker, IA Renfrew, M Serreze, K Speer, LD Talley and GA Wick. (Mar 2013). HIGH-LATITUDE OCEAN AND SEA ICE SURFACE FLUXES: CHALLENGES FOR CLIMATE RESEARCH. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY , 94(3). 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00244.1
  • Jenouvrier, S, M Holland, J Stroeve, C Barbraud, H Weimerskirch, M Serreze and H Caswell. (Sep 2012). Effects of climate change on an emperor penguin population: analysis of coupled demographic and climate models. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY , 18(9). 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02744.x
  • Stroeve, JC, V Kattsov, A Barrett, M Serreze, T Pavlova, M Holland and WN Meier. (Aug 2012). Trends in Arctic sea ice extent from CMIP5, CMIP3 and observations. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS , 39. 10.1029/2012GL052676
  • Porter, DF, JJ Cassano and MC Serreze. (Jun 2012). Local and large-scale atmospheric responses to reduced Arctic sea ice and ocean warming in the WRF model. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES , 117. 10.1029/2011JD016969
  • Serreze, MC, AP Barrett and J Stroeve. (May 2012). Recent changes in tropospheric water vapor over the Arctic as assessed from radiosondes and atmospheric reanalyses. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES , 117. 10.1029/2011JD017421
  • Stroeve, JC, MC Serreze, MM Holland, JE Kay, J Malanik and AP Barrett. (Feb 2012). The Arctics rapidly shrinking sea ice cover: a research synthesis. CLIMATIC CHANGE , 110(4-Mar). 10.1007/s10584-011-0101-1
  • Overland, JE and MC Serreze. (Jan 2012). Advances in Arctic Atmospheric Research. ARCTIC CLIMATE CHANGE: THE ACSYS DECADE AND BEYOND , 43. 10.1007/978-94-007-2027-5_2
  • Tedesco, M, X Fettweis, MR van den Broeke, RSW van de Wal, CJPP Smeets, WJ van de Berg, MC Serreze and JE Box. (Dec 2011). The role of albedo and accumulation in the 2010 melting record in Greenland. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS , 6(1). 10.1088/1748-9326/6/1/014005
  • Callaghan, TV, M Johansson, RD Brown, PY Groisman, N Labba, V Radionov, RS Bradley, S Blangy, ON Bulygina, TR Christensen, JE Colman, RLH Essery, BC Forbes, MC Forchhammer, VN Golubev, RE Honrath, GP Juday, AV Meshcherskaya, GK Phoenix, J Pomeroy, A Rautio, DA Robinson, NM Schmidt, MC Serreze, VP Shevchenko, AI Shiklomanov, AB Shmakin, P Skold, M Sturm, MK Woo and EF Wood. (Dec 2011). Multiple Effects of Changes in Arctic Snow Cover. AMBIO , 40. 10.1007/s13280-011-0213-x
  • Porter, DF, JJ Cassano and MC Serreze. (Nov 2011). Analysis of the Arctic atmospheric energy budget in WRF: A comparison with reanalyses and satellite observations. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES , 116. 10.1029/2011JD016622
  • Miller GH; Brigham-Grette J; Alley RB; Anderson L; Bauch HA; Douglas MSV; Edwards ME; Elias SA; Finney BP; Fitzpatrick JJ. (Sep 2011). Corrigendum to: Temperature and precipitation history of the Arctic (vol 29, pg 1679, 2010). Quaternary Science Reviews: the international multidisciplinary research and review journal , 30(19-20), 2841-2843. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.07.018
  • Stroeve, JC, MC Serreze, A Barrett and DN Kindig. (Aug 2011). Attribution of recent changes in autumn cyclone associated precipitation in the Arctic. TELLUS SERIES A-DYNAMIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY , 63(4). 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2011.00515.x
  • Serreze, MC and RG Barry. (May 2011). Processes and impacts of Arctic amplification: A research synthesis. GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE , 77(2-Jan). 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.03.004
  • Serreze, MC, AP Barrett and JJ Cassano. (Apr 2011). Circulation and surface controls on the lower tropospheric air temperature field of the Arctic. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES , 116. 10.1029/2010JD015127
  • Serreze MC. (Mar 2011). CLIMATE CHANGE Rethinking the sea-ice tipping point. Nature , 471(7336), 47-48. 10.1038/471047a
  • Stroeve, JC, J Maslanik, MC Serreze, I Rigor, W Meier and C Fowler. (Jan 2011). Sea ice response to an extreme negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation during winter 2009/2010. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS , 38. 10.1029/2010GL045662
  • Serreze, MC and AP Barrett. (Jan 2011). Characteristics of the Beaufort Sea High. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE , 24(1). 10.1175/2010JCLI3636.1
  • Rawlins, MA, M Steele, MM Holland, JC Adam, JE Cherry, JA Francis, PY Groisman, LD Hinzman, TG Huntington, DL Kane, JS Kimball, R Kwok, RB Lammers, CM Lee, DP Lettenmaier, KC McDonald, E Podest, JW Pundsack, B Rudels, MC Serreze, A Shiklomanov, O Skagseth, TJ Troy, CJ Vorosmarty, M Wensnahan, EF Wood, R Woodgate, DQ Yang, K Zhang and TJ Zhang. (Nov 2010). Analysis of the Arctic System for Freshwater Cycle Intensification: Observations and Expectations. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE , 23(21). 10.1175/2010JCLI3421.1
  • Miller, GH, J Brigham-Grette, RB Alley, L Anderson, HA Bauch, MSV Douglas, ME Edwards, SA Elias, BP Finney, JJ Fitzpatrick, SV Funder, TD Herbert, LD Hinzman, DS Kaufman, GM MacDonald, L Polyak, A Robock, MC Serreze, JP Smol, R Spielhagen, JWC White, AP Wolfe and EW Wolff. (Jul 2010). Temperature and precipitation history of the Arctic. QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS , 29(15-16). 10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.03.001
  • Polyak, L, RB Alley, JT Andrews, J Brigham-Grette, TM Cronin, DA Darby, AS Dyke, JJ Fitzpatrick, S Funder, M Holland, AE Jennings, GH Miller, M ORegan, J Savelle, M Serreze, K St John, JWC White and E Wolff. (Jul 2010). History of sea ice in the Arctic. QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS , 29(15-16). 10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.02.010
  • Miller, GH, RB Alley, J Brigham-Grette, JJ Fitzpatrick, L Polyak, MC Serreze and JWC White. (Jul 2010). Arctic amplification: can the past constrain the future?. QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS , 29(15-16). 10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.02.008
  • Porter, DF, JJ Cassano, MC Serreze and DN Kindig. (Apr 2010). New estimates of the large-scale Arctic atmospheric energy budget. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES , 115. 10.1029/2009JD012653
  • Serreze, MC. (Feb 2010). Understanding Recent Climate Change. CONSERVATION BIOLOGY , 24(1). 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2009.01408.x
  • Holland, MM, MC Serreze and J Stroeve. (Feb 2010). The sea ice mass budget of the Arctic and its future change as simulated by coupled climate models. CLIMATE DYNAMICS , 34(3-Feb). 10.1007/s00382-008-0493-4
  • Kattsov, VM, VE Ryabinin, JE Overland, MC Serreze, M Visbeck, JE Walsh, W Meier and XD Zhang. (Jan 2010). Arctic sea-ice change: a grand challenge of climate science. JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY , 56(200). 10.3189/002214311796406176
  • Rawlins, MA, MC Serreze, R Schroeder, XD Zhang and KC McDonald. (Dec 2009). Diagnosis of the record discharge of Arctic-draining Eurasian rivers in 2007. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS , 4(4). 10.1088/1748-9326/4/4/045011
  • Finnis, J, J Cassano, M Holland, M Serreze and P Uotila. (Jul 2009). Synoptically forced hydroclimatology of major Arctic watersheds in general circulation models; Part 1: the Mackenzie River Basin. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY , 29(9). 10.1002/joc.1753
  • Finnis, J, JJ Cassano, M Holland, MC Serreze and P Uotila. (Jul 2009). Synoptically forced hydroclimatology of major Arctic watersheds in general circulation models; Part 2: Eurasian watersheds. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY , 29(9). 10.1002/joc.1769
  • Rawlins, MA, M Steele, MC Serreze, CJ Vorosmarty, W Ermold, RB Lammers, KC McDonald, TM Pavelsky, A Shiklomanov and JL Zhang. (Mar 2009). Tracing Freshwater Anomalies Through the Air-Land-Ocean System: A Case Study from the Mackenzie River Basin and the Beaufort Gyre. ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN , 47(1). 10.3137/OC301.2009
  • Durner, GM, DC Douglas, RM Nielson, SC Amstrup, TL McDonald, I Stirling, M Mauritzen, EW Born, O Wiig, E DeWeaver, MC Serreze, SE Belikov, MM Holland, J Maslanik, J Aars, DA Bailey and AE Derocher. (Feb 2009). Predicting 21st-century polar bear habitat distribution from global climate models. ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS , 79(1). 10.1890/07-2089.1
  • Serreze, MC, AP Barrett, JC Stroeve, DN Kindig and MM Holland. (Jan 2009). The emergence of surface-based Arctic amplification. CRYOSPHERE , 3(1). 10.5194/tc-3-11-2009
  • Serreze, MC and AP Barrett. (Mar 2008). The summer cyclone maximum over the central Arctic Ocean. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE , 21(5). 10.1175/2007JCLI1810.1
  • Wyser, K, CG Jones, P Du, E Girard, U Willen, J Cassano, JH Christensen, JA Curry, K Dethloff, JE Haugen, D Jacob, M Koltzow, R Laprise, A Lynch, S Pfeifer, A Rinke, M Serreze, MJ Shaw, M Tjernstrom and M Zagar. (Feb 2008). An evaluation of Arctic cloud and radiation processes during the SHEBA year: simulation results from eight Arctic regional climate models. CLIMATE DYNAMICS , 30(3-Feb). 10.1007/s00382-007-0286-1
  • Stroeve J; Serreze M; Drobot S; Gearheard S; Holland M; Maslanik J; Meier W; Scambos T. (Jan 2008). Arctic Sea Ice Extent Plummets in 2007. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union , 89(2), 13-13. 10.1029/2008eo020001
  • Tedesco, M, M Serreze and X Fettweis. (Jan 2008). Diagnosing the extreme surface melt event over southwestern Greenland in 2007. CRYOSPHERE , 2(2). 10.5194/tc-2-159-2008
  • Slater, AG, TJ Bohn, JL McCreight, MC Serreze and DP Lettenmaier. (Nov 2007). A multimodel simulation of pan-Arctic hydrology. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-BIOGEOSCIENCES , 112(G4). 10.1029/2006JG000303
  • Finnis, J, MM Holland, MC Serreze and JJ Cassano. (Nov 2007). Response of Northern Hemisphere extratropical cyclone activity and associated precipitation to climate change, as represented by the Community Climate System Model. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-BIOGEOSCIENCES , 112(G4). 10.1029/2006JG000286
  • Holland, MM, J Finnis, AP Barrett and MC Serreze. (Oct 2007). Projected changes in arctic ocean freshwater budgets. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-BIOGEOSCIENCES , 112(G4). 10.1029/2006JG000354
  • Serreze, MC, AP Barrett, AG Slater, M Steele, JL Zhang and KE Trenberth. (Jun 2007). The large-scale energy budget of the Arctic. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES , 112(D11). 10.1029/2006JD008230
  • Stroeve, J, MM Holland, W Meier, T Scambos and M Serreze. (May 2007). Arctic sea ice decline: Faster than forecast. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS , 34(9). 10.1029/2007GL029703
  • Serreze, MC, MM Holland and J Stroeve. (Mar 2007). Perspectives on the Arctics shrinking sea-ice cover. SCIENCE , 315(5818). 10.1126/science.1139426
  • Tsukernik, M, DN Kindig and MC Serreze. (Feb 2007). Characteristics of winter cyclone activity in the northern North Atlantic: Insights from observations and regional modeling. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES , 112(D3). 10.1029/2006JD007184
  • Holland, MM, J Finnis and MC Serreze. (Dec 2006). Simulated Arctic Ocean freshwater budgets in the twentieth and twenty-first centuries. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE , 19(23). 10.1175/JCLI3967.1
  • Serreze, MC, AP Barrett, AG Slater, RA Woodgate, K Aagaard, RB Lammers, M Steele, R Moritz, M Meredith and CM Lee. (Nov 2006). The large-scale freshwater cycle of the Arctic. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS , 111(C11). 10.1029/2005JC003424
  • Rinke A; Dethloff K; Cassano JJ; Christensen JH; Curry JA; Du P; Girard E; Haugen J-E; Jacob D; Jones CG. (Sep 2006). Publishers Erratum: Evaluation of an ensemble of Arctic regional climate models: spatiotemporal fields during the SHEBA year (vol 26, pg 459, 2006). Climate Dynamics , 27(4), 433-435. 10.1007/s00382-006-0157-1
  • Serreze, MC and JA Francis. (Jun 2006). The arctic amplification debate. CLIMATIC CHANGE , 76(4-Mar). 10.1007/s10584-005-9017-y
  • Rinke, A, K Dethloff, JJ Cassano, JH Christensen, JA Curry, P Du, E Girard, JE Haugen, D Jacob, CG Jones, M Koltzow, R Laprise, AH Lynch, S Pfeifer, MC Serreze, MJ Shaw, M Tjernstrom, K Wyser and M Zagar. (Apr 2006). Evaluation of an ensemble of Arctic regional climate models: spatiotemporal fields during the SHEBA year. CLIMATE DYNAMICS , 26(5). 10.1007/s00382-005-0095-3
  • Serreze MC; Francis JA. (Mar 2006). The Arctic on the fast track of change. Weather , 61(3), 65-69. 10.1256/wea.197.05
  • Serreze, MC, AP Barrett and F Lo. (Dec 2005). Northern high-latitude precipitation as depicted by atmospheric reanalyses and satellite retrievals. MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW , 133(12). 10.1175/MWR3047.1
  • Chapin, FS, M Sturm, MC Serreze, JP McFadden, JR Key, AH Lloyd, AD McGuire, TS Rupp, AH Lynch, JP Schimel, J Beringer, WL Chapman, HE Epstein, ES Euskirchen, LD Hinzman, G Jia, CL Ping, KD Tape, CDC Thompson, DA Walker and JM Welker. (Oct 2005). Role of land-surface changes in Arctic summer warming. SCIENCE , 310(5748). 10.1126/science.1117368
  • Zhang, TJ, OW Frauenfeld, MC Serreze, A Etringer, C Oelke, J McCreight, RG Barry, D Gilichinsky, DQ Yang, HC Ye, F Ling and S Chudinova. (Aug 2005). Spatial and temporal variability in active layer thickness over the Russian Arctic drainage basin. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES , 110(D16). 10.1029/2004JD005642
  • Stroeve, JC, MC Serreze, F Fetterer, T Arbetter, W Meier, J Maslanik and K Knowles. (Feb 2005). Tracking the Arctics shrinking ice cover: Another extreme September minimum in 2004. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS , 32(4). 10.1029/2004GL021810
  • Frauenfeld, OW, TJ Zhang and MC Serreze. (Jan 2005). Climate change and variability using European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis (ERA-40) temperatures on the Tibetan Plateau. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES , 110(D2). 10.1029/2004JD005230
  • Overpeck JT; Sturm M; Francis JA; Perovich DK; Serreze MC; Benner R; Carmack EC; Chapin FS; Gerlach SC; Hamilton LC. (Jan 2005). Arctic system on trajectory to new, seasonally ice-free state. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union , 86(34), 309-309. 10.1029/2005eo340001
  • Oelke, C, TJ Zhang and MC Serreze. (Apr 2004). Modeling evidence for recent warming of the Arctic soil thermal regime. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS , 31(7). 10.1029/2003GL019300
  • Tsukernik, M, TN Chase, MC Serreze, RG Barry, R Pielke, B Herman and X Zeng. (Mar 2004). On the regulation of minimum mid-tropospheric temperatures in the Arctic. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS , 31(6). 10.1029/2003GL018831
  • Sturm M; Perovich DK; Serreze MC. (Oct 2003). Meltdown in the North. Scientific American , 289(4), 60-67. 10.1038/scientificamerican1003-60
  • Serreze, MC and AJ Etringer. (Sep 2003). Precipitation characteristics of the Eurasian Arctic drainage system. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY , 23(11). 10.1002/joc.941
  • Oelke, C, TJ Zhang, MC Serreze and RL Armstrong. (May 2003). Regional-scale modeling of soil freeze/thaw over the Arctic drainage basin. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES , 108(D10). 10.1029/2002JD002722
  • Serreze, MC, MP Clark and DH Bromwich. (Apr 2003). Monitoring precipitation over the Arctic terrestrial drainage system: Data requirements, shortcomings, and applications of atmospheric reanalysis. JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY , 4(2). 10.1175/1525-7541(2003)4<387:MPOTAT>2.0.CO;2
  • Serreze, MC, JA Maslanik, TA Scambos, F Fetterer, J Stroeve, K Knowles, C Fowler, S Drobot, RG Barry and TM Haran. (Feb 2003). A record minimum arctic sea ice extent and area in 2002. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS , 30(3). 10.1029/2002GL016406
  • Clark, M.P., L.E. Hay, G.J. McCabe, G.H. Leavesley, M.C. Serreze, and R.L. Wilby. (Jan 2003). The use of weather and climate information in forecasting water supply in the western United States.
  • Serreze, MC, DH Bromwich, MP Clark, AJ Etringer, TJ Zhang and R Lammers. (Nov 2002). Large-scale hydro-climatology of the terrestrial Arctic drainage system. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES , 108(D2). 10.1029/2001JD000919
  • Frei, A, RL Armstrong, MP Clark and MC Serreze. (Jun 2002). Catskill mountain water resources: Vulnerability, hydroclimatology, and climate-change sensitivity. ANNALS OF THE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN GEOGRAPHERS , 92(2). 10.1111/1467-8306.00287
  • Uttal, T, JA Curry, MG McPhee, DK Perovich, RE Moritz, JA Maslanik, PS Guest, HL Stern, JA Moore, R Turenne, A Heiberg, MC Serreze, DP Wylie, OG Persson, CA Paulson, C Halle, JH Morison, PA Wheeler, A Makshtas, H Welch, MD Shupe, JM Intrieri, K Stamnes, RW Lindsey, R Pinkel, WS Pegau, TP Stanton and TC Grenfeld. (Feb 2002). Surface heat budget of the Arctic Ocean. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY , 83(2). 10.1175/1520-0477(2002)083<0255:SHBOTA>2.3.CO;2
  • Beringer J; Tapper NJ; McHugh I; Chapin FS; Lynch AH; Serreze MC; Slater A. (Nov 2001). Impact of Arctic treeline on synoptic climate. Geophysical Research Letters , 28(22), 4247-4250. 10.1029/2001GL012914
  • Serreze, MC, MP Clark and A Frei. (Mar 2001). Characteristics of large snowfall events in the montane western United States as examined using snowpack telemetry (SNOTEL) data. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH , 37(3). 10.1029/2000WR900307
  • Clark, MP, MC Serreze and GJ McCabe. (Mar 2001). Historical effects of El Nino and La Nina events on the seasonal evolution of the montane snowpack in the Columbia and Colorado River Basins. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH , 37(3). 10.1029/2000WR900305
  • Lynch AH; Slater AG; Serreze M. (Jan 2001). The Alaskan Arctic frontal zone: Forcing by orography, coastal contrast, and the boreal forest. Journal of Climate , 14(23), 4351-4362. 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<4351:TAAFZF>2.0.CO;2
  • McCabe, GJ, MP Clark and MC Serreze. (Jan 2001). Trends in Northern Hemisphere surface cyclone frequency and intensity. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE , 14(12). 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<2763:TINHSC>2.0.CO;2
  • Serreze, MC, AH Lynch and MP Clark. (Jan 2001). The Arctic frontal zone as seen in the NCEP-NCAR reanalysis. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE , 14(7). 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<1550:TAFZAS>2.0.CO;2
  • Fleming, MD, FS Chapin, W Cramer, GL Hufford and MC Serreze. (Dec 2000). Geographic patterns and dynamics of Alaskan climate interpolated from a sparse station record. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY , 6. 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2000.06008.x
  • McGuire, AD, JS Clein, JM Melillo, DW Kicklighter, RA Meier, CJ Vorosmarty and MC Serreze. (Dec 2000). Modelling carbon responses of tundra ecosystems to historical and projected climate: sensitivity of pan-Arctic carbon storage to temporal and spatial variation in climate. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY , 6. 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2000.06017.x
  • Clark, MP and MC Serreze. (Oct 2000). Effects of variations in east Asian snow cover on modulating atmospheric circulation over the north pacific ocean. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE , 13(20). 10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<3700:EOVIEA>2.0.CO;2
  • Serreze MC; Walsh JE; Chapin FS; Osterkamp T; Dyurgerov M; Romanovsky V; Oechel WC; Morison J; Zhang T; Barry RG. (Jul 2000). Observational evidence of recent change in the northern high-latitude environment. Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change , 46(1-2), 159-207. 10.1023/A:1005504031923
  • Cullather RI; Bromwich DH; Serreze MC. (Mar 2000). The atmospheric hydrologic cycle over the Arctic basin from reanalyses. Part I: Comparison with observations and previous studies. Journal of Climate , 13(5), 923-937. 10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<0923:TAHCOT>2.0.CO;2
  • Maslanik JA; Lynch AH; Serreze MC; Wu W. (Jan 2000). A case study of regional climate anomalies in the Arctic: Performance requirements for a coupled model. Journal of Climate , 13(2), 383-401. 10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<0383:ACSORC>2.0.CO;2
  • Serreze, MC and CM Hurst. (Jan 2000). Representation of mean Arctic precipitation from NCEP-NCAR and ERA reanalyses. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE , 13(1). 10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<0182:ROMAPF>2.0.CO;2
  • Kahl, JDW, NA Zaitseva, V Khattatov, RC Schnell, DM Bacon, J Bacon, V Radionov and MC Serreze. (Oct 1999). Radiosonde observations from the former Soviet "North Pole" series of drifting ice stations, 1954-90. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY , 80(10). 10.1175/1520-0477(1999)080<2019:ROFTFS>2.0.CO;2
  • Maslanik JA; Serreze MC; Agnew T. (Jul 1999). On the record reduction in 1998 western Arctic sea-ice cover. Geophysical Research Letters , 26(13), 1905-1908. 10.1029/1999GL900426
  • Serreze, MC, MP Clark, RL Armstrong, DA McGinnis and RS Pulwarty. (Jul 1999). Characteristics of the western United States snowpack from snowpack telemetry (SNOTEL) data. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH , 35(7). 10.1029/1999WR900090
  • Clark, MP, MC Serreze and DA Robinson. (Jan 1999). Atmospheric controls on Eurasian snow extent. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY , 19(1). 10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(199901)19:1<27::AID-JOC346>3.0.CO;2-N
  • Serreze MC; Key JR; Box JE; Maslanik JA; Steffen K. (Feb 1998). A new monthly climatology of global radiation for the Arctic and comparisons with NCEP-NCAR reanalysis and ISCCP-C2 fields. Journal of Climate , 11(2), 121-136. 10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011<0121:ANMCOG>2.0.CO;2
  • Serreze, MC, MP Clark, DL McGinnis and DA Robinson. (Feb 1998). Characteristics of snowfall over the eastern half of the United States and relationships with principal modes of low-frequency atmospheric variability. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE , 11(2). 10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011<0234:COSOTE>2.0.CO;2
  • Barlow LK; Rogers JC; Serreze MC; Barry RG. (Nov 1997). Aspects of climate variability in the North Atlantic sector: Discussion and relation to the Greenland Ice Sheet Project 2 high-resolution isotopic signal. Journal of Geophysical Research , 102(C12), 26333-26344. 10.1029/96JC02401
  • Serreze MC; Carse F; Barry RG; Rogers JC. (Mar 1997). Icelandic low cyclone activity: Climatological features, linkages with the NAG, and relationships with recent changes in the Northern Hemisphere circulation. Journal of Climate , 10(3), 453-464. 10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<0453:ILCACF>2.0.CO;2
  • Clark MP; Serreze MC; Barry RG. (Jul 1996). Characteristics of Arctic Ocean climate based on COADS data, 1980-1993. Geophysical Research Letters , 23(15), 1953-1956. 10.1029/96GL01807
  • Maslanik JA; Serreze MC; Barry RG. (Jun 1996). Recent decreases in Arctic summer ice cover and linkages to atmospheric circulation anomalies. Geophysical Research Letters , 23(13), 1677-1680. 10.1029/96GL01426
  • SERREZE, MC, JA MASLANIK, JR KEY, RF KOKALY and DA ROBINSON. (Aug 1995). DIAGNOSIS OF THE RECORD MINIMUM IN ARCTIC SEA-ICE AREA DURING 1990 AND ASSOCIATED SNOW COVER EXTREMES. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS , 22(16). 10.1029/95GL02068
  • SERREZE, MC, RG BARRY, MC REHDER and JE WALSH. (Aug 1995). VARIABILITY IN ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION AND MOISTURE FLUX OVER THE ARCTIC. PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES , 352(1699). 10.1098/rsta.1995.0065
  • CURRY JA; SCHRAMM JL; SERREZE MC. (Jul 1995). WATER-VAPOR FEEDBACK OVER THE ARCTIC-OCEAN. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres , 100(D7), 14223-14229. 10.1029/95JD00824
  • SERREZE, MC, MC REHDER, RG BARRY, JD KAHL and NA ZAITSEVA. (Jul 1995). THE DISTRIBUTION AND TRANSPORT OF ATMOSPHERIC WATER-VAPOR OVER THE ARCTIC BASIN. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY , 15(7). 10.1002/joc.3370150702
  • SERREZE, MC, RG BARRY and JE WALSH. (Apr 1995). ATMOSPHERIC WATER-VAPOR CHARACTERISTICS AT 70-DEGREES-N. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE , 8(4). 10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008<0719:AWVCA>2.0.CO;2
  • SERREZE, MC. (Mar 1995). CLIMATOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT AND DECAY IN THE ARCTIC. ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN , 33(1). 10.1080/07055900.1995.9649522
  • WALSH, JE, X ZHOU, D PORTIS and MC SERREZE. (Dec 1994). ATMOSPHERIC CONTRIBUTION TO HYDROLOGIC VARIATIONS IN THE ARCTIC. ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN , 32(4). 10.1080/07055900.1994.9649520
  • DEABREU RA; KEY J; MASLANIK JA; SERREZE MC; LEDREW EF. (Sep 1994). COMPARISON OF IN-SITU AND AVHRR-DERIVED BROAD-BAND ALBEDO OVER ARCTIC SEA-ICE. Arctic , 47(3), 288-297.
  • KEY J; MASLANIK JA; PAPAKYRIAKOU T; SERREZE MC; SCHWEIGER AJ. (Sep 1994). ON THE VALIDATION OF SATELLITE-DERIVED SEA-ICE SURFACE-TEMPERATURE. Arctic , 47(3), 280-287.
  • Serreze MC; Rehder MC; Barry RG; Kahl JD. (Jan 1994). A climatological data base of arctic water vapor characteristics1. Polar Geography and Geology , 18(1), 63-75. 10.1080/10889379409377531
  • BARRY RG; SERREZE MC; MASLANIK JA; PRELLER RH. (Nov 1993). THE ARCTIC SEA-ICE CLIMATE SYSTEM - OBSERVATIONS AND MODELING. Reviews of Geophysics , 31(4), 397-422. 10.1029/93RG01998
  • KAHL, JDW, MC SERREZE, RS STONE, S SHIOTANI, M KISLEY and RC SCHNELL. (Jul 1993). TROPOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE TRENDS IN THE ARCTIC - 1958-1986. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES , 98(D7). 10.1029/93JD00818
  • KAHL, JD, DJ CHARLEVOIX, NA ZAITSEVA, RC SCHNELL and MC SERREZE. (Jan 1993). ABSENCE OF EVIDENCE FOR GREENHOUSE WARMING OVER THE ARCTIC-OCEAN IN THE PAST 40 YEARS. NATURE , 361(6410). 10.1038/361335a0
  • SCHWEIGER AJ; SERREZE MC; KEY JR. (Jan 1993). ARCTIC SEA ICE ALBEDO - A COMPARISON OF 2 SATELLITE-DERIVED DATA SETS. Geophysical Research Letters , 20(1), 41-44. 10.1029/92GL03006
  • SERREZE MC; BOX JE; BARRY RG; WALSH JE. (Jan 1993). CHARACTERISTICS OF ARCTIC SYNOPTIC ACTIVITY, 1952-1989. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics , 51(3-4), 147-164. 10.1007/BF01030491
  • KAHL, JD, MC SERREZE and RC SCHNELL. (Dec 1992). TROPOSPHERIC LOW-LEVEL TEMPERATURE INVERSIONS IN THE CANADIAN ARCTIC. ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN , 30(4). 10.1080/07055900.1992.9649453
  • KAHL, JD, MC SERREZE, S SHIOTANI, SM SKONY and RC SCHNELL. (Nov 1992). INSITU METEOROLOGICAL SOUNDING ARCHIVES FOR ARCTIC STUDIES. BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY , 73(11). 10.1175/1520-0477(1992)073<1824:ISMSAF>2.0.CO;2
  • ROBINSON DA; SERREZE MC; BARRY RG; SCHARFEN G; KUKLA G. (Oct 1992). LARGE-SCALE PATTERNS AND VARIABILITY OF SNOWMELT AND PARAMETERIZED SURFACE ALBEDO IN THE ARCTIC BASIN. Journal of Climate , 5(10), 1109-1119. 10.1175/1520-0442(1992)005<1109:LSPAVO>2.0.CO;2
  • SERREZE, MC, JA MASLANIK, MC REHDER, RC SCHNELL, JD KAHL and EL ANDREAS. (Jun 1992). THEORETICAL HEIGHTS OF BUOYANT CONVECTION ABOVE OPEN LEADS IN THE WINTER ARCTIC PACK ICE COVER. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS , 97(C6). 10.1029/92JC00688
  • SERREZE, MC, JD KAHL and RC SCHNELL. (Jun 1992). LOW-LEVEL TEMPERATURE INVERSIONS OF THE EURASIAN ARCTIC AND COMPARISONS WITH SOVIET DRIFTING STATION DATA. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE , 5(6). 10.1175/1520-0442(1992)005<0615:LLTIOT>2.0.CO;2
  • SERREZE, MC, JA MASLANIK, RG BARRY and TL DEMARIA. (Feb 1992). WINTER ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION IN THE ARCTIC BASIN AND POSSIBLE RELATIONSHIPS TO THE GREAT SALINITY ANOMALY IN THE NORTHERN NORTH-ATLANTIC. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS , 19(3). 10.1029/91GL02946
  • SERREZE MC; MASLANIK JA; PRELLER RH; BARRY RG. (Dec 1990). SEA ICE CONCENTRATIONS IN THE CANADA BASIN DURING 1988 - COMPARISONS WITH OTHER YEARS AND EVIDENCE OF MULTIPLE FORCING MECHANISMS. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans , 95(C12), 22253-22267. 10.1029/JC095iC12p22253
  • SERREZE MC; REHDER MC. (Dec 1990). JUNE CLOUD COVER OVER THE ARCTIC-OCEAN. Geophysical Research Letters , 17(13), 2397-2400. 10.1029/GL017i013p02397
  • SERREZE MC; BARRY RG; MCLAREN AS. (Apr 1990). SEASONAL-VARIATIONS IN SEA ICE MOTION AND EFFECTS ON SEA ICE CONCENTRATION IN THE CANADA BASIN - REPLY. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans , 95(C4), 5407-5408. 10.1029/JC095iC04p05407
  • SERREZE MC; BARRY RG; MCLAREN AS. (Aug 1989). SEASONAL-VARIATIONS IN SEA ICE MOTION AND EFFECTS ON SEA ICE CONCENTRATION IN THE CANADA BASIN. Journal of Geophysical Research , 94(C8), 10955-10970. 10.1029/JC094iC08p10955
  • SERREZE MC; MCLAREN AS; BARRY RG. (Aug 1989). SEASONAL-VARIATIONS OF SEA ICE MOTION IN THE TRANSPOLAR DRIFT STREAM. Geophysical Research Letters , 16(8), 811-814. 10.1029/GL016i008p00811
  • Serreze MC; Barry RG. (Dec 1988). Synoptic Activity in the Arctic Basin, 1979-85. Journal of Climate , 1(12), 1276-1295. 10.1175/1520-0442(1988)001<1276:SAITAB>2.0.CO;2
  • MCLAREN AS; SERREZE MC; BARRY RG. (Nov 1987). SEASONAL-VARIATIONS OF SEA ICE MOTION IN THE CANADA BASIN AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS. Geophysical Research Letters , 14(11), 1123-1126. 10.1029/GL014i011p01123
  • BRADLEY RS; SERREZE MC. (Jan 1987). TOPOCLIMATIC STUDIES OF A HIGH ARCTIC PLATEAU ICE CAP. Journal of Glaciology , 33(114), 149-158. 10.3189/S0022143000008625
  • SERREZE MC; BRADLEY RS. (Jan 1987). RADIATION AND CLOUD OBSERVATIONS ON A HIGH ARCTIC PLATEAU ICE CAP. Journal of Glaciology , 33(114), 162-168. 10.3189/S0022143000008649
  • ROBINSON DA; SCHARFEN G; SERREZE MC; KUKLA G; BARRY RG. (Sep 1986). SNOW MELT AND SURFACE ALBEDO IN THE ARCTIC BASIN. Geophysical Research Letters , 13(9), 945-948. 10.1029/GL013i009p00945