Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences at the University of Colorado Boulder

Highlights of CIRES Science at the American Meteorological Society

Talks and posters by CIRES scientists, events and more: CIRES@ #AMS2017

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MONDAY, January 23

Session 1: The New GOES-R Instruments and Their Advanced Capabilities—Part I (Invited) • 620 (Washington State Convention Center)

The GOES-R Spacecraft Mission Series Magnetometer (1.1)

11:00 am • Paul Loto’aniu, CIRES/NOAA

New Energetic Particle Observations at Geosynchronous by the GOES-R Series Space Environment In‐Situ Suite (SEISS) (1.2)

11:15 am • Brian Kress, CIRES/NOAA

Planning the Climate Observing Systems of the Future (1A.4)

Betsy Weatherhead, CIRES/NOAA 11:45 am • 605 (Washington State Convention Center)

Interactions Between the Atmospheric Boundary Layer and the Advancing Autumn Sea Ice (1.4)

Ola Persson, CIRES/ NOAA 11:45 am • Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center)

The Extreme Precipitation Forecasting Table: Enhancing Situational Awareness of Extreme Precipitation Events (J4.1)

Diana R. Stovern, CIRES/NWS 1:30 pm • 608 (Washington State Convention Center

Ensemble Prediction with the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): Providing Probabilistic Forecasts of Weather Hazards for Aviation (3.1)

R. Alexander, CIRES/ NOAA 4:00 pm • Skagit 2 (Washington State Convention Center)

Impact of Targeted Dropsonde Observations on the Predictability of Extratropical Cyclones in a Global Model Using an Observing System Simulation Experiment Framework (3.3)

Tanya R. Peevey, CIRES/NOAA 4:30 pm • 607 (Washington State Convention Center)

Assessment of Radio Occultation Observations with a Simplified Observing System Simulation Experiment Configuration (3.5)

Lidia Cucurull, NOAA with CIRES co-authors 5:00 pm • 607 (Washington State Convention Center)

MONDAY AFTERNOON POSTER • 2:30 pm-4:00 pm • Washington State Convention Center 4E

An Assessment of Different Initialization Fields on Short-term Sea Ice Forecast Parameters Using a Coupled Ice-Ocean-Atmosphere Model (Poster 219)

Janet Intrieri, NOAA and CIRES co-author


TUESDAY, January 24

International Weather and Climate Events of 2016 (1.1)

Klaus Wolter, CIRES/NOAA 8:30 am • Ballroom 6E (Washington State Convention Center)

Upper Tropospheric and Lower Stratosphere Water Vapor Observations from Satellite, Balloon and Aircraft: What Have We Learned over the Past 70 Years? (4.1)

Karen Rosenlof, NOAA 8:30 am • 401 (Washington State Convention Center)

Highlight from a CIRES partner

Constraining NOx and VOC Emissions with GOME, SCIAMACHY, and OMI Data for the Study of Long-Term Air Quality in Los Angeles (3.5)

Si-Wan Kim, CIRES/NOAA 9:30 am • 4C-3 (Washington State Convention Center)

Reaching the World with NOAA’s Science On a Sphere, SOS Explorer, and Beyond (3.5)

Elizabeth Russell, CIRES/NOAA 9:30 am • 308 (Washington State Convention Center)

El Niño in 2015-16: The View from Kiritimati Island (1.5)

Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/NOAA 9:45 am • Ballroom 6E (Washington State Convention Center)

Themed Joint Panel Discussion 6: Meeting Energy Needs in a Changing Climate (TJPD6.1)

Moderator: Melinda Marquis, NOAA. Panelists: Kristen Averyt, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado Boulder; Justin Sharp, Sharply Focused LLC; John (Skip) Dise, Clean Power Research; Tassos Golnas, DOE; and Bryan Hannegan, National Renewable Energy Laboratory 10:30 am-12:00 pm • 606 (Washington State Convention Center)

Investigating the Impact of Anthropogenic Pollution on Cloud Properties at the North Slope of Alaska (J4.4)

Maximilian Maahn, CIRES/NOAA 11:15 am • 4C-4 (Washington State Convention Center)

Ionospheric Weather from the Coupled Whole Atmosphere Model (WAM)-Ionosphere-Plasmasphere-Electrodynamics (IPE) Model toward NOAA Operational Space Weather Forecasting (4.6)

Naomi Maruyama, CIRES/NOAA 11:45 am • 4C-2 (Washington State Convention Center)

Observation Impacts in Mesoscale Numerical Weather Prediction (Invited) (3.1)

Curtis Alexander, CIRES/NOAA 1:30 pm • Chelan 2 (Washington State Convention Center)

Performance of the NCEP Global Forecast System (GFS) and ECMWF High Resolution (HRES) forecast models during NOAA’s 2016 El Niño Rapid Response Campaign (6A.2)

George Kiladis, NOAA and CIRES co-authors 1:45 pm • Tahoma 3 (Washington State Convention Center)

INSITE: Convective Weather Decision Support (6.2)

Melissa A. Petty, CIRA/NOAA and CIRES co-authors 1:45 pm • Skagit 2 (Washington State Convention Center)

Hazard Services—Progress Report (5.1)

Tracy Lee Hansen, NOAA and CIRES co-author 4:00 pm • 608 (Washington State Convention Center)

Hydropower Licensing and Fisheries: The Importance of Incorporating Uncertain Climate Projections into Regulatory Decisionmaking (5B.1)

Joseph Barsugli, CIRES/NOAA 4:00 pm • 310 (Washington State Convention Center)

Joint Panel Discussion 2: Why Energy and Water are Connected Challenges (TJ2.2)

Moderator: Kristen Averyt, CIRES/University of Colorado Boulder. Panelists: Robin Newmark, NREL; Steven Kerns, Bonneville Power Administration; and Paul Fleming, Seattle Public Utilities, Climate and Sustainability Group

4:00-5:30 pm • Yakima 1 (Washington State Convention Center)

Demonstration of a HRRR-National Water Model Hydrometeorological Ensemble Prototype for Flash Flood Forecasting (3.3)

Kelly Mahoney, NOAA 4:30 pm • 612 (Washington State Convention Center)

Highlight from a CIRES partner

Eighth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications

The Future of Space-Based Lidar Observations: Addressing the Needs of Current and Future Global Atmospheric Studies

Co-panelist: Janet Intrieri, NOAA 4:30-5:30 pm • Skagit 4 (Washington State Convention Center)

Highlight from a CIRES partner

TOWN HALL MEETING: Community Forum on the National Academies’ Decadal Survey, Earth Science and Applications from Space. The 2017-2027 Decadal Survey for Earth Science and Applications from Space (ESAS 2017) will help shape science priorities and guide agency investments well into the next decade. CIRES Director Waleed Abdalati and Bill Gail, co-chairs of the survey steering committee, will lead a discussion on the study’s objectives, progress to date, and plans for completion in late 2017. The National Research Council’s Arthur Charo will moderate. 6:30-7:30 pm • 613 (Washington State Convention Center)

TUESDAY AFTERNOON POSTERS • 2:30 pm-4:00 pm • Washington State Convention Center 4E

The Use of Observations in the Transition of Research Aviation Weather Products into Operations (715).

Arlene Laing, CIRA/NOAA and CIRES co-author

Observed Aerosol Influence on Ice Water Content of Arctic Mixed-Phase Clouds (795).

Matthew Norgren, CIRES/University of Colorado Boulder

2016-17 HRRRv3/HRRR-Ensemble Cloud and Wind Modeling/Assimilation Toward Increased Renewable Energy Penetration (836).

Stan Benjamin, NOAA and CIRES co-authors

A Unified Wind and Solar Dataset from the 3-km High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (837).

Eric P. James, CIRES/NOAA


WEDNESDAY, January 25

Joint Session 1: Polar Clouds and Climate Part I • Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center)

Understanding Synoptic Influence on Clouds and Radiation at Summit Station Greenland Using Self-Organizing Maps (J1.1)

8:30 am • Michael Stone, CIRES

Clouds Across the Arctic: Synthesizing Knowledge from Ground-based Observations (J1.3)

9:00 am • Matthew Shupe, CIRES/NOAA

FACETs—The 2016 Hazard Services-Probabilistic Hazard Information (HS-PHI) Experiment at the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed (J9.2)

Tracy Lee Hansen, NOAA and CIRES co-author 8:45 am • 608 (Washington State Convention Center)

Joint Session 2: The Second Wind Forecast Improvement Project (WFIP2) Part I • 606 (Convention Center)

Lidar Characterization of Boundary-Layer Winds and Validation of NWP Forecast Model Performance during the Second Wind Forecast Improvement Project in Complex Terrain (J2.2)

8:45 am • Yelena Pichugina, CIRES/NOAA

Use of Scanning Doppler Lidars during WFIP-2 to Characterize Flow Phenomena and Evaluate NWP Model Performance (J2.3)

9:00 am • Robert Banta, NOAA and CIRES co-authors

Improving Boundary-layer Wind Energy Forecasts by Representing Wind Farms in Mesoscale Models: Validation and Improvements using WFIP2 Observations (J2.4)

9:15 am • Julie K. Lundquist, University of Colorado Boulder and CIRES co-authors

HRRR Model Development for Complex Terrain Applications in Support of the Wind Forecast Improvement Project 2 (J2.5)

9:30 am • Joseph B. Olson, CIRES/NOAA

Improvements to HRRR Wind Forecasts from WFIP2 (J2.6)

9:45 am • Jaymes Kenyon, CIRES/NOAA

Space-based Global Wind Measurements: Present Capabilities and Future Prospects (Invited) (TJ12.2)

R. Michael Hardesty, CIRES/NOAA 9:15 am • 2AB (Washington State Convention Center)

Investigation of the Sources of High Ozone in California’s San Joaquin Valley Using Lidar, Aircraft, and Balloon-Borne Observations from the 2016 California Baseline Ozone Transport Study (7.6)

Christoph Senff, CIRES/NOAA 9:45 am • Skagit 4 (Washington State Convention Center)


Joint Session 3: The Second Wind Forecast Improvement Project (WFIP2) Part 2 • 606 (Convention Center)


Turbulence Dissipation Rates in the Planetary Boundary Layer from Wind Profiling Radars and Mesoscale Numerical Weather Prediction Models during WFIP2 (J3.1)

10:30 am • Katherine McCaffrey, CIRES/NOAA

Seasonal Dependence of RAP and HRRR NWP Forecast Errors During the Second Wind Forecast Improvement Project (WFIP2) Field Campaign (J3.2)

10:45 am • James Wilczak, NOAA with CIRES co-authors

Measuring the Skill of Numerical Weather Prediction Models at Forecasting Wind Ramp Events during WFIP (J3.3)

11:00 am • Laura Bianco, CIRES/ NOAA

WFIP2 Experiment: Impact of Different Spatial Model Resolutions on Forecasting 80m Wind Speed Ramp Events (J3.4)

11:15 am • Irina Djalalova, CIRES/NOAA

New Progress in Leveraging Spaceborne Radar and Lidar to Advance Arctic Cloud-Climate Research (J2.5)

Jennifer Kay, CIRES/University of Colorado Boulder 11:30 am • Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center)

An Update on the COSMIC-2 Mission (4.1)

Lidia Cucurull, NOAA 1:30 pm • 3AB (Washington State Convention Center)

Highlight from a CIRES partner

Indicators of a Changing Arctic (J6.2)

Diane Stanitski, NOAA and CIRES co-authors 1:45 pm • Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center)

Global Model Test Bed: Fostering Community Involvement in NOAA’s Next-Generation Global Prediction System (5.2)

Ligia Bernardet, CIRES/NOAA 4:15 pm • 3AB (Washington State Convention Center)

Estimating Solar Radiation at the Ground from Space (Clouds, Turbidity); Measuring it Directly at the Ground (Invited) (TJ15.3)

John Augustine, NOAA and CIRES co-authors 4:30 pm • 2AB (Washington State Convention Center)

Changes of Precipitation and Drought Associated with Global Warming (11B.6)

Prashant Sardeshmukh, CIRES/NOAA 5:15 pm • 609 (Washington State Convention Center)

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON POSTERS • 2:30 pm-4:00 pm • Washington State Convention Center 4E

Operational MADIS 2017 and Beyond (1046).

Leon Benjamin, CIRES/NOAA

Highlight from a CIRES partner

Sea Ice Forecast Guidance from an Experimental Coupled Sea Ice-Ocean-Atmosphere Model (1047)

Janet Intrieri, NOAA

Highlight from a CIRES partner

Tropical-Extratropical Interaction during the El Niño Rapid Response Field Campaign (1252).

Joseph Barsugli, CIRES/NOAA

Case Study of Wind Turbine Wake Using Scanning Doppler Lidar Measurements in Complex Terrain (1415)

Yelena Pichugina, CIRES/NOAA

An Assessment of the Need for Parameterizing the Effects of Wind Farms within the HRRR for Operational and Research Applications (1416)

Stephanie Redfern, CIRES/University of Colorado Boulder

Impacts of Adding/Removing Satellite and Dropsonde Data on Winter Storm Forecast Accuracy over the United States (1423)

Jason English, CIRES/NOAA


THURSDAY, January 26

Session 7B: Quasi-Operational Products You Can Use: Tales from the Dry Side • 611 (Washington State Convention Center)

INSITE: Impact-based Decision Support Services for Aviation Weather (7B.1)

10:30 am • Melissa Petty, CIRA/NOAA and CIRES co-authors

Unified Analysis and Nowcasting through a 3D Rapidly Updating Analysis (RUA) (7B.3)

11:00 am • Stephen Weygandt, NOAA and CIRES co-authors

Wildfires and Anthropogenic Emissions in the HRRR: Forecasting Dispersion of Smoke (HRRR-Smoke) and its Impact on Numerical Weather Prediction (7B.4)

11:15 am • Georg Grell, NOAA and CIRES co-authors

The Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI): a New Drought Monitoring and Early Warning Tool (7B.6)

11:45 am • Michael Hobbins, CIRES/ NOAA

Session 3: Tropical Interactions With Higher Latitudes • 2AB (Washington State Convention Center)

Equatorial Wave Activity during NOAA’s 2016 El Niño Rapid Response Campaign (3.1)

1:30 pm • George Kiladis, NOAA and CIRES co-authors

Science and Services at the Weather-Climate Intersection: Lessons from the NOAA El Niño Rapid Response (3.2)

1:45 pm • Randall Dole, CIRES/NOAA

The Use of AMDAR Observations for Verifying Cloud Ceiling and Icing Forecasts (13.3)

Matthew Wandishin, CIRES/NOAA

2:00 pm • Skagit 2 (Washington State Convention Center)

Model Evaluation in Central Greenland Using a Comprehensive Set of Atmospheric and Surface Measurements (J9.6)

Nathaniel Miller, CIRES/University of Colorado Boulder 2:45 pm • Skagit 3 (Washington State Convention Center)

NOAA/ESRL PSL Web-based Tools for Rapid Diagnosis and Assessment of Current Climate and Weather Events (9B.4)

Catherine A. Smith, CIRES/ NOAA 4:15 pm • 611 (Washington State Convention Center)

Nowcasting–Now and Then (9B.5)

Zoltan Toth, NOAA 4:30 pm • 611 (Washington State Convention Center)

Highlight from a CIRES partner


CIRES is a partnership of NOAA and CU Boulder.

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