Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences at the University of Colorado Boulder

Jennifer Kay Group

Clouds, Radiation, Ice, and Coupled Climate Processes

Our group's research interests include coupled climate processes, cold clouds and precipitation, sea ice, climate forcing and feedbacks, and internal climate variability. The tools we apply include remote sensing observations, in situ observations, process models, coupled climate models, instrument simulators, and data assimilation. We work with scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR, also located in Boulder) in the development and analysis of global coupled climate models.  We also work with NASA science teams on observing clouds, precipitation, and radiation.  We bring together all of these tools to advance our scientific research interests.

I am an Associate Professor in the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences (ATOC), a CIRES Fellow and CIRES Associate Director for the Cryospheric and Polar Processes Division, and a visiting scientist at NCAR. My publications are up-to-date on Google Scholar and at Web of Science.

Please be in touch if you are interested in joining us in beautiful Boulder, Colorado.


"The emphasis on observation opens special avenues to discovery.  Discoveries, it seems, can be forced to occur in the future, as they often have in the past, by the deliberate making of observations of new phenomena or new frontiers." (from "The Incomplete Guide to the Art of Discovery" by Jack. E. Oliver, Professor Emeritus at Cornell University)

Research areas, including select papers (*=student lead author):

1) Polar climate feedbacks including the cloud influence on and response to Arctic sea ice loss and Arctic warming (Kay et al. 2008; Kay and Gettelman 2009; Kay et al. 2012aKay et al. 2016a; *Morrison et al. 2018a, 2018b; Goosse, Kay et al. 2018; *Middlemas et al. 2020)
2) Simulators for evaluation and improvement of modeled clouds and precipitation processes using satellite observations (Kay et al. 2012b; Kay et al 2016b; Guzman et al. 2017Kay et al. 2018)
3) Coupling between clouds and large-scale atmosphere and ocean circulation patterns (Kay et al. 2016c; *Frey and Kay 2017; *Frey et al. 2017; *Chalmers et al. 2022)
4) Sea ice trends, variability, and predictability in both the Arctic and Antarctic (Kay et al. 2011Holland et al. 2013Swart et al. 2015; *Barnhart et al. 2016; Jahn et al. 2016; Kay et al. 2022)
5) Large initial condition ensembles to separate internally generated variability and forced climate change (Kay et. al. 2015; Deser et al. 2020)

Current research projects, interests, and funding:

1) Processes controlling Arctic energy budgets and climate feedbacks (NASA PREFIRE)
2) Observing and modeling coupled Arctic atmosphere-ocean-sea ice processes (NASA CloudSat+CALIPSO)
3) Coupling between clouds, atmosphere and ocean circulation patterns, sea ice, and ocean biogeochemistry (NSF CAREER, CIRES IRP) 4) Advanced understanding of 21st century ocean change using climate models and NASA observations (NASA Oceanography)


Research Tools/Datasets Developed by the Kay Group:

1) CloudSat and CALIPSO spaceborne radar and lidar (cloud fraction dataset).  Currently being updated by Ph.D. student Will Bertrand.
2) CFMIP Observational Simulator Package (COSP) in CESM1 and CESM2

Learn More About Climate video discussing our Arctic climate research.

2023 Highlights

  • Yue Dong will join us in September 2023 as a CIRES Research Scientist to work on our newly funded NASA Oceanography proposal. Welcome Yue!
  • Arianna Varoulo-Clarke will join us in September 2023 as a NOAA Climate and Global Change Postdoctoral Fellow.  Congratulations and Welcome Arianna!
  • This August through October, Gabriella Wallentin (PhD Student in Cloud Physics in the group of Prof. Dr. Corinna Hoose) is visiting us from the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) in Germany.  Welcome Gabriella!
  • We welcomed two researchers this summer: Ryan Haas a meteorology major from the University of Miami through the ATOC REU and Ethan Glenn who recently graduated with an Associate of Science from Northeastern Junior College through RECCS.  Welcome Ryan and Ethan!
  • During May 15-18, we went to the Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory to visit the SPLASH (Study of Precipitation, the Lower Atmosphere and Surface for Hydrometeorology) and SAIL (Surface Atmosphere Integrated Field Laboratory) field campaigns hosted by CIRES/CU scientist Dr. Gijs deBoer and NOAA scientist Dr. Joe Sedlar.  Along with Denver's 9News, CIRES News also produced a story/podcast highlighting the trip's goal of helping students bridge from field observations to models.  
  • Megan was awarded a CIRES Graduate Student Researcher Award for her project Characterizing the Response of Firn to Climate Change. Congrats Megan!

2022 Highlights

  • Nicola received a 2023 Australian Research Council (ARC) Discovery Early Career Research Award (DECRA) for her project How will Pacific climate variability impact Australia in a warming world? Congratulations Nicola!
  • Congratulations to Sydney for submitting her very first conference abstract to the 103rd American Meteorological Society meeting to be held in Denver January 8-12, 2023.  The theme of the meeting "Data: Driving Science. Informing Decisions. Enriching Humanity" is a perfect match to her abstract title: Investigating High Plains seasonality along a North-South transect in a warming world.
  • Ash received the NSF GRFP Fellowship. Congratulations Ash!
  • Genevieve received the NSF GRFP Fellowship.  Congratulations Genevieve!
  • Jonah received the NASA FINESST Fellowship. Congratulations Jonah!
  • Lydia/Ash Gilbert joins the Kay group as an ATOC/CIRES Ph.D. student.  Welcome Ash!
  • Megan Thompson-Munson joins the Kay group as an ATOC/CIRES Ph.D. student.  Welcome Megan!
  • Summer 2022 = many long-planned meetings!  International Radiation Symposium 2022 (originally 2020) and the Cloud Feedbacks Model Intercomparison Project (One of the first MIPs!) in Seattle (also originally 2020).  Jonah also will go to the AMS Collective Meeting in Madison.  We are busy and taking it all in and feeling fortunate for in-person science this summer.
  • We welcome two undergraduate researchers this summer: Nayeli Gurrola who is a statistics major at the University of Texas Rio Grande Valley and Sydney Crandall who is a ATOC/Data Science major at CU.  Welcome Nayeli and Sydney!
  • Jen led a paper published in Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth SystemsLess surface sea ice melt in the CESM2 improves Arctic sea ice simulation with minimal non-polar climate impacts.
  • Former Kay Group member and CU Class of 2020 Jason Chalmers published in J. Climate: Does disabling cloud radiative feedbacks change spatial patterns of surface greenhouse warming and cooling? Congrats Jason!!

2021 Highlights

  • Genevieve Clow joins the Kay group as an ATOC/CIRES Ph.D. student, co-advised with Prof. Nikki Lovenduski in ATOC/INSTAAR.  Welcome Genevieve!!
  • Will Bertrand joins the Kay group as an ATOC/CIRES Ph.D. student.  Welcome Will!
  • Sean Leister joins the Kay group as an ATOC/CIRES Ph.D. student.  Welcome Sean!
  • We welcome two researchers virtually this summer: Renato Barrera who is an undergraduate at the University of Texas Rio Grande Valley and Brandon Molina who will join ATOC as a Ph.D. student in Fall 2021.  Welcome Brandon and Renato!
  • Michael Diamond joins CIRES as a postdoctoral fellow working with Graham Feingold (NOAA) and with us.  Welcome Michael!
  • Jen was on sabbatical in Spring 2021.

2020 Highlights

  • Due to the pandemic, the CFMIP community held a virtual meeting that included an invited review talk by Jen in the session on "Do extratropical cloud feedbacks matter for climate?". Watch it here.  All papers for the talk are available here.
  • Nicola Maher joins the Kay group as a CIRES Postdoctoral Visiting Fellow in November.  Welcome Nicola!
  • Jonah Shaw joins the Kay group as an ATOC/CIRES Ph.D. student in August.  Welcome Jonah!
  • CIRES Postdoc Eleanor Middlemas published in Geophysical Research Letters: Quantifying the Influence of Cloud Radiative Feedbacks on Arctic Surface Warming Using Cloud Locking in an Earth System Model. Congrats Eleanor!!
  • Congratulations to Kay Group Member Dr. Eleanor Middlemas for winning the 2019 F.G. Walton Smith Prize for outstanding Ph.D. Dissertation at the University of Miami!
  • Anna Pinckney joins Kay group for summer research on Southern Ocean Clouds and Precipitation.  Welcome Anna!
  • Fernanda Marcello de Oliveria from the University of Sao Paulo (Brazil) visits us to collaborate on Southern Ocean research in February.  Welcome Fernanda!
  • Jen's Nature News and Views on the success of early climate models in predicting subsequently observed global warming is now online.
  • Teresa Vogl from the Leipzig University (Germany) visits us to research clouds (primarily using radar data) from January through early March.  Welcome Teresa!

2019 Highlights

  • Congrats to Dr. Ariel Morrison on her publication "Quantifying student engagement in learning about climate change using galvanic hand sensors in a controlled educational setting" recently published in Climatic Change here
  • During summer, we are delighted to welcome Professor Alan Robock (Rutgers University) and Hsing-Hung Chou (National Taiwan University) to visit and collaborate with us.
  • Kay group member Ariel Morrison graduates with her Ph.D.!! A copy of her dissertation is available here: Engaging in Climate Change: Arctic cloud-sea ice feedbacks in observations, climate models and the classroom. Congratulations Dr. Morrison. We are very proud of you!!
  • Jason Chalmers' UROP grant for this summer entitled "Linearity of cloud feedbacks in idealized climate models" has been funded.  Congratulations Jason!
  • Jacopo Sala from the University of Milano Bicocca is visiting us to research Arctic Amplification in observations and large initial condition ensembles.  Benvenuto/Welcome Jacopo!
  • Kay group member Ariel Morrison awarded an Outstanding Student Presentation Award for her invited oral presentation entitled "Cloud Response to Arctic Sea Ice Loss and Implications for Future Feedbacks in the CESM1 Climate Model” at the 2018 Fall AGU.  Congratulations Ariel!
  • Eleanor Middlemas joins Kay group as a CIRES Postdoctoral Visiting Fellow.  Welcome Eleanor!

2018 Highlights

2017 Highlights

  • Jen awarded the 2017 Henry G. Houghton Award by the American Meteorological Society "For the innovative use of observations and global climate models to better understand the rapidly evolving climate of the polar regions"
  • ATOC Ph.D. candidate and Kay group member Ariel Morrison awarded a Chateaubriand Fellowship from the Embassy of France for her work on Arctic clouds and sea ice. Ariel spent Spring 2017 in Paris, France working with Professor Helene Chepfer at LMD/Ecole Polytechnique. Bon Voyage!
  • ATOC Ph.D. candidate and Kay group member Vineel Yettella awarded a 2017 CIRES Graduate Student Research Award for his prediction work using the CESM Large Ensemble (joint with ATOC Professor Jeff Weiss). Congrats Vineel!!
  • ATOC Ph.D. Candidate and Kay group member Bill Frey published in Climate Dynamics: The influence of extratropical cloud phase and amount feedbacks on climate sensitivity and in Geophysical Research Letters Do Southern Ocean Cloud Feedbacks Matter for 21st Century Warming?. Congrats Bill!!
  • Lucy Rieves (CU Undergraduate) joined the Kay group for the summer through the UROP program. Lucy's summer research focused on understanding the impacts of climate change on agriculture in the United States. Welcome Lucy!!

2016 Highlights





Jennifer Kay Group in CIRES news

El Niño Impacts in North America Depend Partly on North Pacific Ocean

New study: Conditions in the North Pacific Ocean can increase likelihood of El Niño’s temperature and precipitation impacts
Climate and Weather

Polar Bear Season

CIRES heads to Canada for the annual gathering of polar bears
Biology and EcosystemsClimate and WeatherCryosphere

Authors in italics are students/postdocs.


Bertrand, W., Kay, J. E., Haynes, and G. de Boer (submitted), A Global Gridded Dataset for Cloud Vertical Structure from combined CloudSat and CALIPSO observations, Earth System Science Data,

Clow, G., Lovenduski, N., Levy, M., Lindsay, K. and J. E. Kay, (submitted), Implementing a satellite simulator in CESM to evaluate the impact of missing data on ocean chlorophyll observations, Geoscientific Model Development,

Jahn, A., Holland, M. M., and J. E. Kay, (submitted), Projections of an ice-free Arctic, Nature Earth and Environment Reviews

Arouf, A., Chepfer, H., Kay, J. E., L'Ecuyer T., and J. Luc (submitted), Surface cloud warming increases as Fall Arctic sea ice cover decreases, Geophysical Research Letters

Holland, M. M. et al., including Kay, J. E. (submitted), New model ensemble reveals how forcing uncertainty and model structure alter climate simulated across CMIP generations of the Community Earth System Model,


99) Shaw, J. K., and J. E. Kay (2023), Processes Controlling the Seasonally Varying Emergence of Forced Arctic Longwave Radiation Changes, Journal of Climate,

98) Medeiros, B., Shaw, J. K., Kay, J. E., and I. Davis (2023), Assessing clouds using satellite observations through three generations of global atmosphere models, Earth and Space Science

97) Sledd, A., L'Ecuyer, T., Kay, J. E., and M. Steele (2023), Clouds increasingly influence Arctic sea surface temperatures as CO2 rises, Geophysical Research Letters,


96) Kay, J.E., DeRepentigny, P., Holland, M. M., Bailey, D. A., DuVivier, A. K., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Deser, C., Jahn, A., Singh, H., Smith, M. M., Webster, M. A., Edwards, J., Lee, S.-S., Rodgers, K. B. and N Rosenbloom (2022), Less surface sea ice melt in the CESM2 improves Arctic sea ice simulation with minimal non-polar climate impacts, Journal in Advances in Modeling Earth Systems,  Data available here.

95) Chalmers, J., Kay, J. E., Middlemas, E. A., Maroon, E. A., and P. DiNezio (2022), Does disabling cloud radiative feedbacks change spatial patterns of surface greenhouse warming and cooling?, Journal of Climate, 1787–1807, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0391.1

94) Maher, N., Kay, J. E., and A. Capotondi (2022), Modulation of ENSO Teleconnections over North America by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Environmental Research Letters CIRES Press Release 

93) Schneider, D., Kay, J. E., and C. Hannay (2022), Cloud and surface albedo feedbacks reshape 21st  Century warming in successive generations of an Earth System Model, Geophysical Research Letters​, 49, e2022GL100653, DOI: 10.1029/2022GL100653.  Data available here and here.

92) Kim, H., Kang, S. M., Kay, J. E., and S. Xie (2022), Subtropical Clouds Key to Southern Ocean Teleconnections to the Tropical Pacific, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,119 (34)e2200514119,

91) Singh, H, Feldl, N, Kay, J. E., and A. L. Morrison (2022), Climate Sensitivity is Sensitive to Changes in Ocean Heat Transport, Journal of Climate,

90) Diamond, M., Gristey, J. J., Kay, J. E. and G. Feingold (2022), Anthropogenic aerosol and cryosphere changes drive Earth’s strong but transient clear-sky hemispheric albedo asymmetry, Commun Earth Environ 3, 206,"Behind the paper Blog"

89) DeRepentigny, P., Jahn, A., Holland, M., Kay, J. E., Fasullo, J., Lamarque, J-F, Tilmes, S., Hannay, C., Mills, M., Bailey D., and A. Barrett (2022), Enhanced simulated early 21st century Arctic sea ice loss due to CMIP6 biomass burning emissions, Science Advances, 8:30, DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abo2405

88) Maloney, C., Toon, B., Bardeen, C., Yu, P., Froyd, K. Kay, J., and S. Woods (2022), The balance between heterogeneous and homogeneous nucleation of ice clouds using CAM5/CARMA, Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres,

87) Zhu, J., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Brady, E. C., Gettelman, A., Bacmeister, J. T., Neale, R. B., Poulsen, C. J., Shaw, J. K., McGraw, Z. S., and J. E. Kay (2022), LGM paleoclimate constraints inform cloud parameterizations and equilibrium climate sensitivity in CESM2, JAMES,


86) Chemke, R., Polvani, L. M., Kay, J.E., and C. Orbe (2021), Quantifying the role of ocean coupling in Arctic amplification and sea-ice loss over the 21st century, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, npj Clim Atmos Sci 4, 46

85) Mulmenstadt, J, Salzmann, M., Kay, J.E., Zelinka, M. D., Ma, P., Hornig, S., and J. Quaas, (2021), An underestimated negative cloud feedback from cloud lifetime changes, Nature Climate Change,  Companion Nature News & Views: The cooling of light rain in a warming world.

84) L'Ecuyer, T. et al. including J. E. Kay, (2021), The Polar Radiant Energy in the Far InfraRed Experiment:  A New Perspective on Polar Longwave Energy Exchanges, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,

83) Huang, Y., Dong, X., Kay, J.E., Xi, B. and E. McIlhattan, (2021), The climate response to increased cloud liquid water over the Arctic in CESM1: a sensitivity study of Wegener–Bergeron–Findeisen process, Climate Dynamics


82) Kay, J. E. (2020), Early climate models successfully predicted global warming, Nature 578, 45-46 (2020), doi: 10.1038/d41586-020-00243-w

81) Middlemas, E. A., Kay, J. E., Medeiros, B. M., and E. A. Maroon (2020), Quantifying the influence of cloud radiative feedbacks on Arctic surface warming using cloud locking in an earth system model, Geophysical Research Letters,​

80) Schneider, D., Kay, J. E., and J. Lenaerts (2020), Improved clouds over Southern Ocean amplify Antarctic precipitation response to ozone depletion in an Earth system model, Climate Dynamics,

79) McIlhattan, E.Kay, J. E., and T. L'Ecuyer (2020), Arctic Clouds and Precipitation in the Community Earth System Model Version 2, JGR-Atmospheres,

78) DuVivier, A., Holland, M., Kay, J. E., S. Tilmes, A. Gettelman, and D. Bailey (2020), Arctic and Antarctic sea ice state in the Community Earth System Model Version 2, JGR-Oceans, 

77) Molnar, P., Bitz, C. M., Holland, M. M. Kay, J. E., Penk, S. R., and S. Amstrup (2020), Fasting season length sets temporal limits for global polar bear persistence, Nature Climate Change

76) Danabasoglu, G. and co-authors including Kay, J. E. (2020), The Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2), Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems12, e2019MS001916.​

75) Deser, C., Lehner, F., Rodgers, K. B., and co-authors including J. E. Kay (2020), Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects, Nature Climate Change, 10, 277–286.

74) DuVivier, A., DeRepentigny, P., Holland, M., Webster, M., Kay, J. E., and D. Perovich (2020), Going with the floe: tracking CESM Large Ensemble sea ice in the Arctic provides context for ship-based observations, The Cryosphere, 14, 1259–1271,

73) Lenaerts, J., Camron, M. D., Wyburn-Powell, C. and J. E. Kay, (2020) Present-day and future Greenland Ice Sheet precipitation frequency from satellite observations and an Earth System Model, The Cryosphere,


72) Morrison, A. L., Kay, J. E., Frey, W. R., Chepfer, H. and R. Guzman (2019), Cloud Response to Arctic Sea Ice Loss and Implications for Future Feedbacks in the CESM1 Climate Model, 124 (2), 1003-­1020, JGR-Atmospheres,

71) Morrison, A., Rozak, S., Gold, A., and J. E. Kay (2019), Quantifying student engagement in learning about climate change using galvanic hand sensors in a controlled educational setting, Climatic Change10.1007/s10584-019-02576-6

70) Takahashi, H., Lebsock, M., Richardson, M., Marchand, R. and J. E. Kay (2019), When will spaceborne cloud radar detect upward shifts in cloud heights?, JGR-Atmospheres, DOI: 10.1029/2018JD030242

69) Huang, Y. , Dong, X., Bailey, D., Holland, M., Xi, B., DuVivier, A., J. E. Kay, Landrum L. and Y. Deng (2019), Thicker clouds and accelerated Arctic sea ice decline: The atmosphere-sea ice interactions in spring, Geophysical Research Letters, DOI: 10.1029/2019GL082791


68) Kay, J. E., L'Ecuyer, T., Pendergrass, A., Chepfer, H., Guzman, R. and V. Yetella (2018), Scale-aware and definition-aware evaluation of modeled near-surface precipitation frequency using CloudSat observations, JGR-Atmospheres, 123:8, 4294-4309, DOI:10.1002/2017JD028213

67) Goosse, H., Kay, J. E., Armour, K. C., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Chepfer, H., Docquier, D., Jonko, A., Kushner, P. J., Lecomte, O., Massonnet, F., Park, H., Pithan, F., Svensson, G., and M. Vancoppenolle (2018), Quantitative estimation of climate feedbacks in polar regions, Nature Communications, 9, 1919, doi:10.1038/s41467-018-04173-0

66) Morrison, A. L., Kay, J. E.,, Chepfer, H., Guzman, R. and V. Yettella (2018), Isolating the Liquid Cloud Response to Recent Arctic Sea Ice Variability Using Spaceborne Lidar Observations, JGR-Atmospheres, 123, 473–490, DOI:10.1002/2017JD027248

65) Maroon, E. A., Kay, J. E., and K. Karnauskas (2018), Influence of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation on the Northern Hemisphere surface temperature response to radiative forcing, J. Climate, 31:22, 9207-9224,​

64) Frey, W. R.,and J. E. Kay (2018), The influence of extratropical cloud phase and amount feedbacks on climate sensitivity, Climate Dynamics, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3796-5

63) Frey, W. R., Morrison, A. L., Kay, J. E., Guzman, R. and H. Chepfer (2018), The combined influence of observed Southern Ocean clouds and sea ice on top-of-atmosphere albedo, JGR-Atmospheres, 123:9, 4461–4475,

62) Yettella, V., Weiss, J., Kay, J. E., and A. G. Pendergrass (2018), An ensemble covariance framework for quantifying forced climate variability and its time of emergence, J. Climate, 31:10, 4117-4133,

61) Miller, N. B. , Shupe, M. D., Lenearts, J. T. M., Kay, J. E., deBoer, G. and R. Bennartz (2018), Process‐Based Model Evaluation Using Surface Energy Budget Observations in Central Greenland, JGR-Atmospheres, 123:10, 4777-4796,

60) Lacour, A. , Chepfer, H., Miller, N., Shupe, M. Noel, V., Fettweis, X., Gallee, H., Kay, J. E., Guzman, R., and J. Cole (2018), How well are clouds simulated over Greenland in CMIP5 models? Consequences for the surface cloud radiative effect over the ice sheet. J. Climate, 31:22, 9293-9312,


59) Frey, W. R., Maroon, E. A., Pendergrass, A. G., and J. E. Kay (2017), Do Southern Ocean cloud feedbacks matter for 21st century warming?, Geophysical Research Letters, DOI:10.1002/2017GL076339

58)Yettella, V. and J. E. Kay (2017), How will precipitation change in extratropical cyclones as the planet warms?: Insights from a large initial condition climate model ensemble, Climate Dynamics,49: 1765, DOI 10.1007/s00382-016-3410-2

57) Lacour, A., Chepfer, H., Stone, M., Shupe, M., Miller, N., Noel, V., Kay, J. E., and D. D. Turner (2017), Greenland Clouds Observed in CALIPSO-GOCCP: Comparison with Ground-Based Summit Observations, J. Climate, DOI:

56) Guzman, R., H. Chepfer, V. Noel, T. Vaillant de Guélis, J. E. Kay, P. Raberanto, G. Cesana, M. A. Vaughan, and D. M. Winker (2017), Direct atmosphere opacity observations from CALIPSO provide new constraints on cloud-radiation interactions, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, doi:10.1002/2016JD025946.

55) Webb, M. J., Andrews, T., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Bony, S., Bretherton, C. S., Chadwick, R., Chepfer, H., Douville, H., Good, P., Kay, J. E., Klein, S. A., Marchand, R., Medeiros, B., Siebesma, A. P., Skinner, C. B., Stevens, B., Tselioudis, G., Tsushima, Y., and Watanabe, M., (2017), The Cloud Feedback Model Intercomparison Project (CFMIP) contribution to CMIP6, Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 359-384, doi:10.5194/gmd-10-359-2017.


54) Kay, J. E., Wall, C., Yettella, V., Medeiros, B. Hannay, C., P. Caldwell, and C. Bitz (2016), Global climate impacts of fixing the Southern Ocean shortwave radiation bias in the Community Earth System Model, J. Climate, 29:12, 4617–4636, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0358.1, Correction to Figure 9 units

53) Kay, J. E., Bourdages, L., Chepfer, H., Miller, N., Morrison, A., Yettella, V., and B. Eaton (2016), Evaluating and improving cloud phase in the Community Atmosphere Model version 5 using spaceborne lidar observations, Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 121:8, 4162–4176, DOI: 10.1002/2015JD024699

52) Kay, J. E., L'Ecuyer, T., Chepfer, H., Loeb, N., Morrison, A. and G. Cesana (2016), Recent advances in Arctic cloud and climate research, Current Climate Change Reports, 2:159, DOI: 10.1007/s40641-016-0051-9

51) Barnhart, K. R., Miller, C. R., Overeem, I., and J. E. Kay (2016), Mapping the future expansion of Arctic open water, Nature Climate Changedoi:10.1038/nclimate2848, Nature highlight

50) Jahn, A., Kay, J. E., Holland, M. M. and D. M. Hall (2016), How predictable is the timing of a summer ice-free Arctic?, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, doi: 10.1002/2016GL070067, CU Today article

49) Palerme, C., Genthon, C., Claud, C., Kay, J. E., Wood, N. B. and T. L'Ecuyer (2016), Evaluation of current and projected Antarctic precipitation in CMIP5 models, Climate Dynamics, DOI 10.1007/s00382-016-3071-1

48) Stephens, G. L., Hakuba, M. Z., Hawcroft, M., Haywood, J., Behrangi, A, Kay, J. E., and P. J. Webster (2016), The curious nature of the hemispheric symmetry of the Earth's water and energy balances, Current Climate Change Reportsdoi:10.1007/s40641-016-0043-9

47) Favrier, V. et al. including J. E. Kay (2016), Atmospheric drying as the main driver of dramatic glacier wastage in the southern Indian Ocean, Nature Scientific Reportsdoi:10.1038/srep32396  CNRS Press Release (in French)

46) Day, J. et al. including J. E. Kay (2016), The Abisko Polar Prediction School, BAMSDOI:

45) Baker, A. H. et al. including J. E. Kay (2016), Evaluating Lossy Data Compression on Climate Simulation Data within a Large Ensemble, Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 4381-4403, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-4381-2016


44) Kay, J. E., Deser, C., Phillips, A., Mai, A., Hannay, C., Strand, G., Arblaster, J., Bates, S., Danabasoglu, G., Edwards, J., Holland, M. Kushner, P., Lamarque, J.-F., Lawrence, D., Lindsay, K., Middleton, A., Munoz, E., Neale, R., Oleson, K., Polvani, L., and M. Vertenstein (2015), The Community Earth System Model (CESM) Large Ensemble Project: A Community Resource for Studying Climate Change in the Presence of Internal Climate Variability, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, 1333–1349.  doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00255.1.

43) Matus, A. V., L'Ecuyer, T. S., Kay, J. E., Hannay, C. and J-F. Lamarque, 2015: The Role of Clouds in Modulating Global Aerosol Direct Radiative Effects in Spaceborne Active Observations and the Community Earth System Model. J. Climate, 28, 2986–3003. doi:

42) Swart, N. C., Fyfe, J. C., Hawkins, E., Kay, J. E., and A. Jahn (2015), Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends, Nature Climate Change, 5, 86-89, doi:10.1038/nclimate2483. Press Release Daily Camera Story


41) Kay, J. E., B. Medeiros, Y.-T. Hwang, A. Gettelman, J. Perket, and M. G. Flanner (2014), Processes controlling Southern Ocean shortwave climate feedbacks in CESM, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, doi:10.1002/2013GL058315.

40) English, J. M., Kay, J. E., Gettelman, A., Liu, X., Wang, Y., Zhang, Y. and H. Chepfer (2014), Contributions of clouds, surface albedos, and mixed-phase ice nucleation schemes to Arctic radiation biases in CAM5, J. Climate, doi:

39) Palerme, C., Kay, J. E., Genthon, C., L'Ecuyer, T., Wood, N. B., and Claud, C. (2014), How much snow falls on the Antarctic ice sheet?, The Cryosphere, 8, 1577-1587, doi:10.5194/tc-8-1577-2014.

38) Perket, J., Flanner, M. G. and J. E. Kay (2014), Diagnosing Shortwave Cryosphere Radiative Effect and 21st Century Evolution in CESM, J. Geophys. Res., doi: 10.1002/2013JD021139

37) Tilmes, S., Lamarque, J.-F., Jahn, A., Kay, J. E. and M. Holland (2014), Can regional climate engineering save the summer Arctic sea ice?, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1002/2013GL058731


36) Kay, J. E. and T. L'Ecuyer (2013), Observational constraints on Arctic Ocean clouds and radiative fluxes during the early 21st century, J. Geophys. Res., 118, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50489.

35) Brady, E., Otto-Bliesner, B., Kay, J. E., and N. Rosenbloom (2013), Sensitivity to Glacial Forcing in the CCSM4, J. Climate, 26, 1901–1925, doi:

34) Gettelman, A., Kay, J. E., and J. T. Fasullo (2013), Spatial Decomposition of Climate Feedbacks in the Community Earth System Model. J. Climate, 26, 3544–3561, doi:

33) Holland, M. M., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E.Kay, J., and S. Vavrus (2013), Initial-value predictability of Antarctic sea ice in the Community Climate System Model 3, Geophys Res Lett., 40, 2121–2124, doi:10.1002/grl.50410.

32) Hurrell, J., Holland, M. M., Gent, P. R , Ghan, S., Kay, J. E., Kushner, P., Lamarque, J-F., Large, W., G., Lawrence, D., Lindsay, K., Lipscomb, W. H., Long, M., Mahowald, N., Marsh, D., Neale, R., Rasch, P., Vavrus, S., Vertenstein, M., Bader, D., Collins, W. D., Hack, J. J., Kiehl, J. and S. Marshall (2013), The Community Earth System Model: A Framework for Collaborative Research, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi:

31) Meehl, G., Washington, W. M., Arblaster, J. M., Hu, A., Teng, H., Kay, J. E., Gettelman, A., Lawrence, D. M., Sanderson, B. M., and W. G. Strand (2013), Climate change projections in CESM1(CAM5) compared to CCSM4, J. Climate, doi:

30) Sand, M., Berntsen, T. K., Kay, J. E., Lamarque, J. F., Seland, Ø., and A. Kirkevåg (2013), The Arctic response to remote and local forcing of black carbon, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 211-224, doi:10.5194/acp-13-211-2013.


29) Kay, J. E., Holland, M. M., Bitz, C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E.,Gettelman, A., Conley, A., and D. Bailey (2012), The influence of local feedbacks and northward heat transport on the equilibrium Arctic climate response to increased greenhouse gas forcing in coupled climate models, J. Climate, 25, 5433-5450, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00622.1

28) Kay, J. E., Hillman, B., Klein, S., Zhang, Y., Medeiros, B., Gettelman, G., Pincus, R., Eaton, B., Boyle, J., Marchand, R. and T. Ackerman (2012), Exposing global cloud biases in the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) using satellite observations and their corresponding instrument simulators, J. Climate, 25, 5190-5207, doi:

27) Cesana, G., Kay, J. E., Chepfer, H., English, J.M., and G. de Boer (2012), Ubiquitous low-level liquid-containing Arctic clouds: New observations and climate model constraints from CALIPSO-GOCCP, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L20804, doi:10.1029/2012GL053385.

26) Gettelman, A., Kay, J. E., and K. Shell (2012), The evolution of climate sensitivity and climate feedbacks in the Community Atmosphere Model, J. Climate, 25, 1453-1469, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00197.1

25) de Boer, G., Chapman, W., Kay, J. E., Medeiros, B., and M. D. Shupe (2012), A characterization of the present-day Arctic atmosphere in CCSM4, J. Climate, 25, 2676–2695, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00228.1

24) Jahn, A., K. Sterling, M.M. Holland, J.E. Kay, J.A. Maslanik, C.M. Bitz, D.A. Bailey, J. Stroeve, E.C. Hunke, W.H. Lipscomb, D.A. Pollak (2012), Late 20th century simulation of Arctic sea ice and ocean properties in the CCSM4, J. Climate, 25:5, 1431-1452, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00201.1.

23) Stroeve, J. C., Serreze, M. C., Holland, M.M., Kay, J. E., Meier, W., and A. P. Barrett (2012), The Arctic's rapidly shrinking sea ice cover: A research synthesis, Climatic Change, 110, 3-4, 1005-1027, doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0101-1

22) Bromwich, D. H., Nicolas, J. P., Hines, K., Kay, J. E., Key, E., Lazzara, M., Lubin, D. McFarquhar, G., Adams, N., Gorodetskaya, I., Grosvenor, D. P., Lachlan-Cope, T., and N. Van Lipzig (2012), Tropospheric clouds in Antarctica, Rev. Geophys., 50, RG1004, doi:10.1029/2011RG000363.

21) Jochum, M., Jahn, A., Peacock, S., Bailey, D., Fasullo, J., Kay, J. E., Levis, S. and B. Otto-Bliesner (2012), True to Milankovitch: Glacial Inception in the new Community Climate System Model, J. Climate, 25:7, 2226-2239, doi:

20) Raeder, K., Anderson, J. L., Collins, N., Hoar, T. J., Kay, J. E., Lauritzen, P. H., and R. Pincus (2012), DART/CAM: An Ensemble Data Assimilation System for CESM Atmospheric Models, J. Climate, 25, 6304–6317, doi:


19) Kay, J. E., Holland, M. M., and A. Jahn (2011), Inter-annual to multi-decadal Arctic sea ice extent trends in a warming world, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L15708, doi:10.1029/2011GL048008 NSF press release, favorite media coverage including the quote "The Arctic's summer ice coverage could hold its ground or even bounce back slightly, even as global average temperatures rise. But like a Guns 'n' Roses tour, the comeback will be short lived and eventually doomed to disappear."

18) Kay, J. E., Raeder, K., Gettelman, A. and J. Anderson (2011), The boundary layer response to recent Arctic sea ice loss and implications for high-latitude climate feedbacks, J. Climate, 24, 428-447, doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3651.1

17) Hwang, Y-T., Frierson, D. W., and J. E. Kay (2011), Coupling between Arctic feedbacks and changes in poleward energy transport, Geophys. Res. Lett.,38,L17704, doi:10.1029/2011GL048546

16) Medeiros, B., Deser, C. ,Tomas, R. A. and J. E. Kay (2011), Arctic inversion strength in climate models, J. Climate, 24, 4733-4740, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI3968.1


15) Kay, J. E. and A. Gettelman (2009), Cloud influence on and response to seasonal Arctic sea ice loss, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D18204, doi:10.1029/2009JD011773

14) Gettelman, A., P. H. Lauritzen, M. Park, and J. E. Kay (2009), Processes regulating short-lived species in the tropical tropopause layer, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D13303, doi:10.1029/2009JD011785


13) Kay, J. E., L'Ecuyer, T., Gettelman, A., Stephens, G., and C. O'Dell (2008), The contribution of cloud and radiation anomalies to the 2007 Arctic sea ice extent minimum, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L08503, doi:10.1029/2008GL033451

12) Kay, J. E., and R. Wood (2008), Timescale analysis of aerosol sensitivity during homogeneous freezing and implications for upper tropospheric water vapor budgets, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L10809,

11) Drobot, S., J. Stroeve, J. Maslanik, W. Emery, C. Fowler, and J. Kay (2008). Evolution of the 2007-2008 Arctic sea ice cover and prospects for a new record in 2008. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L19501, doi:10.1029/2008GL035316

10) Stephens, G. L., et al. including J. E. Kay (2008), CloudSat mission: Performance and early science after the first year of operation, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D00A18, doi:10.1029/2008JD009982.


9) Kay, J. E., Baker, M., and D. Hegg (2007), Physical controls on orographic cirrus inhomogeneity. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 7, 3771-3781, doi:10.5194/acp-7-3771-2007.

8) Kay, J. E., Baker, M., and D. Hegg (2006), Microphysical and dynamical controls on cirrus cloud optical depth distributions, J. Geophys. Res.,111,D24205, doi:10.1029/2005JD006916

7) Kay, J. E., Kampf, S. K., Handcock, R., Cherkauer, K, Gillespie, A. R., and S. J. Burges (2005), Accuracy of lake and stream temperatures estimated from thermal infrared images, Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 41 (5), 1161-1175.

6) Kay, J. E., Tsemekhman, V., Larsen, B., Baker, M. and B. Swanson (2003), Comment on evidence for surface initiated homogeneous nucleation, Atmos. Phys. Chem., 3, 1439-1443, doi:10.5194/acp-3-1439-2003

5) Kay, J. E., Gillespie, A. R., Hansen, G. B., and E. Pettit (2003), Spatial relationships between snow contaminant content, grain size, and surface temperature from multispectral images of Mt. Rainier, Washington (USA), Remote Sensing of Environment, 86:2, 216-231.

4) Cherkauer, K.A., Burges, S.J. , Handcock, R.N., Kay, J. E., Kampf, S.K. and A.R. Gillespie (2005), Assessing satellite-based thermal-infrared remote-sensing for monitoring Pacific Northwest river temperatures, Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 41 (5), 1149-1160.

3) Handcock, R.N., Gillespie, A. R., Cherkauer, K. A., Kay, J. E., S. J. Burges, and S. K. Kampf (2005), Assessing satellite-based thermal-infrared remote-sensing for monitoring Pacific Northwest river temperatures, Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 41 (5), 1149-1160.

2) Simonelli, D. P., Kay, J., Adinolfi, D., Veverka, J., Thomas, P. C., and P. Helfenstein (1999), Phoebe: Albedo map and photometric properties, Icarus, 138, 249-258.

1) Turtle, E. P. et al. including J. Kay (1999), AMBASSADOR: Asteroid sample return mission to 7 Iris, Acta Astronica, 138, 249-258.


The University of Colorado Boulder is a world leader in climate research. Boulder has multiple climate research centers and amazing collaboration opportunities. Working where the Plains meet the Rockies provides a lot of inspiration. We hope you will consider joining us! Below are current opportunities to join our group. We especially welcome scientists with their own research funding. As always, contact us if you have questions or ideas for collaboration.

For prospective undergraduate students: We would be delighted to have you contribute to our group's research. You should have a strong background in programming/computing/math/science. One option is to write a joint research proposal for the University of Colorado's UROP program.

For prospective graduate students: Please apply to graduate school in ATOC and also consider applying for a fellowship.  For example: NSF Graduate Research Fellowship Program, NASA Future Investigators in NASA Earth and Space Science and Technology Fellowship, NOAA FellowshipsNote: Our group is not recruiting new graduate students for Fall 2023/Spring 2024.

For prospective postdoctoral research fellows: Demonstrating your ability to pursue and fund independent research is especially important. Please let us know if you have an idea for a joint research proposal. In addition, the following fellowships are highly recommended: CIRES Fellowship, NOAA Climate and Global Change Fellowship, NSF AGS Postdoctoral Fellowship, NSF OPP Postdoctoral Fellowship

For graduate students already at CU:  CIRES Graduate Student Research Award, CU Dissertation Completion Fellowship

  • ATOC 5860 - Objective Data Analysis (Spring 2018, Spring 2019, Fall 2020, Spring 2022, Spring 2023).  Application labs in python available on github here.
  • ATOC 4500 - Data Science Lab for Undergraduates (Spring 2022)
  • ATOC 5600 - Physics and Chemistry of Clouds and Aerosols (Spring 2014, Spring 2016, Spring 2020)
  • ATOC 1060 - Our Changing Environment (Fall 2014, Fall 2015, Spring 2017, Fall 2017, Fall 2018, Fall 2019, Fall 2021, Fall 2023)
  • ATOC 4875/5875 - Climate Modeling (Fall 2016)
  • ATOC 4020 - Undergraduate Professional Development Seminar (Spring 2023, Spring 2024)
  • ATOC 6020 - Graduate Seminar (Offered regularly on topics of interest to all and open to all, have an idea?? let me know.)

The Kay Group does Education and Outreach with Protect Our Winters (POW), the Environmental Law Institute (ELI), and many other inspirational partners. In 2017, we made three videos/podcasts as part of Kay NSF CAREER award (NSF 1554659), including filming on site in Churchill, Manitoba in partnership with PBI.


Jennifer Kay

Associate Professor

Dr. Jen Kay is an Associate Professor in the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and a Fellow of CIRES at the University of Colorado at Boulder.

Current Researchers

David Schneider

CIRES Research Scientist III

Current Students

Ash Gilbert

ATOC Graduate Student

Sean Leister

ATOC Graduate Student

Jonah Shaw

ATOC Graduate Student

Recent Alumni

Joseph Sedlar

Research Scientist at NOAA

Elizabeth Maroon

Faculty at University of Wisconsin

Michael Diamond

Michael Diamond


William Frey

Air Force after graduating with his Ph.D. in 2018

I study the coupled climate system of the Southern Ocean and how this region impacts global climate. My primary interest is cloud feedbacks: how clouds change in response to warming and how those changes can either amplify or damp warming. I also study how Southern Ocean dynamics and sea ice interact with clouds and cloud feedbacks.

Nicola Maher


Eleanor Middlemas

Data Scientist, Jupiter

I currently work at Jupiter Intelligence.

Ariel Morrison

Postdoc U. Victoria after graduating with her Ph.D. in 2019

Vineel Yettella




Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences
University of Colorado Boulder
216 UCB Boulder,
CO 80309 Phone:
Fax: 303-492-1149

Alternative Address

Office N249, Lab N273
Boulder, CO 80309